🏀 Sparks vs. Aces Prediction Tonight: WNBA Picks & Best Bets for Saturday, May 23
My Sparks vs. Aces prediction tonight features a best bet on the spread, a Chennedy Carter player prop, and an SGP at +335 odds. Tipoff from Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas is slated for 8 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+, Fubo).
The Aces are an 8.5-point betting favorite over the Sparks tonight and are the second-most likely team to win outright in the WNBA championship odds.
π Sparks vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| π° Pick | βοΈ Bet size (units) | π§ Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -8.5 (-102 via DraftKings) | 1.02u β 1u | Sparks have lost by a median of 10 points in their 3 defeats this season |
| Under 182 (-112 via BetRivers) | 0.56u β 0.5u | Aces have allowed 84 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games |
| Chennedy Carter Over 15.5 points (-111 via DraftKings) | 1.11u β 1u | Ranks 3rd in WNBA in field goal % (.672) |
Total wagered: 2.69 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
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π Who will win Sparks vs. Aces?
The Aces have looked unstoppable since dropping their opener (in one of the weirdest games of the season). Theyβve won four straight, including a 105-78 victory over the Sparks as a 1.5-point favorite in Los Angeles.
The spread is Aces -8.5 this time around, but I would price this game as high as Aces -10. The Sparks arenβt deep enough to compete with the Aces, especially with how well Carter has played since returning from overseas (19.4 PPG on a .717 true shooting percentage).
Score prediction: Aces 94, Sparks 84
π° Sparks vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Aces -8.5 (-102)
While the Aces have been upgraded since closing as a 1.5-point road favorite in the first meeting this season, I don't believe the market is upgrading them enough.
Forget that the Sparks have only three players averaging more than 8.4 PPG - they're not even competitive when they lose. Los Angeles has lost by a median of 10 points in its three defeats this season, not the kind of team you want to back as an underdog. The Aces are -8.5 (-102) at DraftKings, but I'd play this up to Aces -10 (+101) on any of the best sports betting sites.
π₯ Best Sparks vs. Aces player prop bet
Chennedy Carter Over 15.5 points (-111)
Carter is among the most dangerous players in the W right now, shooting 67.2% from the field - the third-best mark in the league. The last time she faced her former team (on May 10), she got whatever she wanted, scoring 22 points in 20 minutes on 9-of-13 (69.2%) shooting.
The Sparks simply arenβt good enough defensively to slow down both Carter and Aβja Wilson. Carter Over 15.5 points is -111 at DraftKings, but I'd be comfortable playing this up to 17.5 (with plus money on the Over) on the best NBA betting sites.
Chennedy Carter player prop trends
Here's a look at how Carter has performed recently, as well as against the Sparks:
| Bet | Best odds | W-L this season | Career vs. Sparks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 points | -111 via DraftKings | 4-1 β | 2-3 β |
π€ Most-bet WNBA player props tonight
Betting insights via DraftKings.
Points (by bet % ποΈ)
- A'ja Wilson (20+)
- Kelsey Plum (15+)
- A'ja Wilson (18+)
Points (by handle % π°)
- A'ja Wilson (20+)
- Kelsey Plum (15+)
- Chennedy Carter (15+)
3-pointers made (by bet % ποΈ)
- Kelsey Plum (2+)
- Marina Mabrey (2+)
- Bridget Carleton (2+)
3-pointers made (by handle % π°)
- Jackie Young (2+)
- Kelsey Plum (3+)
- Marina Mabrey (4+)
π Sparks vs. Aces same-game parlay
The Aces covering the spread would likely mean the Sparks miss a lot of shots, and the more shots Los Angeles misses, the more opportunities leading offensive rebounder Dearica Hamby would have to grab boards. Hamby has recorded nine or more rebounds in back-to-back games, including a nine-rebound performance in a 10-point loss to the Toronto Tempo. DraftKings offers this SGP at +335, while FanDuel lists this parlay at +255.
💵 Sparks vs. Aces SGP picks
- Aces -7.5
- Dearica Hamby Over 8.5 rebounds
Best odds: +335 via DraftKings (0.3u -> 1u)
π Live Sparks vs. Aces odds
ποΈ Sparks vs. Aces betting splits
Betting insights via DraftKings.
| Bet type π | Sparks β‘ | Aces β οΈ |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +275 | 9% | -345 | 91% |
| Spread | +8.5 | 30% | -8.5 | 70% |
| Total | Over 181.5 | 41% | Under 181.5 | 59% |
πΊ How to watch Sparks vs. Aces
- Date: Saturday, May 23
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+, Fubo
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