3M Open Expert Picks & Cheat Sheet: Best Bets at TPC Twin Cities
The 2026 3M Open tees off Thursday morning at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, as players battle for one of the final opportunities to earn valuable FedEx Cup points before the PGA Tour postseason. Scottie Scheffler enters the week as the betting favorite, while Hideki Matsuyama, Kurt Kitayama, and Maverick McNealy headline a competitive field looking to build momentum heading into the playoffs.
Our golf experts have analyzed the field from every angle ahead of the opening round, so I've put together this betting guide featuring all of our 3M Open expert picks and predictions before the first groups tee off Thursday morning.
💰 Our 3M Open best bets
LJ Blut's best picks
3M Open pick to win: Hideki Matsuyama (+3000)
Hideki Matsuyama has all the tools needed to capture the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. One of the PGA Tour's premier iron players, Matsuyama consistently ranks among the leaders in Strokes Gained: Approach, a key statistic on a course that rewards elite ball-striking. His experience, patience, and ability to avoid costly mistakes make him a dangerous contender in a field lacking many of the game's biggest stars. If his putter performs at an average level, Matsuyama has more than enough talent to climb the leaderboard and secure another PGA Tour victory.
3M Open top prop pick: Jackson Koivun - Top 5 finish (+700)
Jackson Koivun has the skill set to secure a top-five finish at the 2026 3M Open. The talented young golfer has quickly gained attention for his impressive ball-striking, composure under pressure, and ability to compete against elite fields. TPC Twin Cities rewards players who can generate birdie opportunities while avoiding costly mistakes, which fits Koivun’s aggressive but controlled style of play. With his strong amateur background and rising confidence as a professional, Koivun has the upside to make a deep run on the leaderboard and contend for one of the best finishes of his young PGA Tour career.
3M Open sleeper pick: Ben James (+5500)
Ben James has the talent to break through with a statement victory at the 2026 3M Open. The PGA Tour rookie enjoyed a decorated collegiate career at the University of Virginia before earning his Tour card through PGA Tour University, and he has already shown he can contend against elite competition early in his professional career. James is an outstanding ball-striker with a fearless mindset, making him a strong fit for TPC Twin Cities' birdie-friendly layout. If he continues his rapid development and putts well, James has the upside to earn his first PGA Tour victory this week.
Best 3M Open First Round Leader bet: Jackson Koivun (+5000)
Jackson Koivun has the skill set to make an immediate impact at the 3M Open and finish Thursday atop the leaderboard. The rising young talent has consistently showcased elite ball-striking and an aggressive scoring mentality, two traits that are ideal for TPC Twin Cities' birdie-friendly layout. If his irons are sharp early, he'll generate plenty of quality looks at birdie throughout the round. With less pressure than many of the tournament favorites, Koivun can play freely, attack pins, and post a low number before changing afternoon conditions tighten the competition.
🏌️ LJ Blut's 3M Open breakdowns
Check out my 3M Open picks and predictions, as well as my 3M Open odds. I also break down my top First Round Leader predictions in my 3M Open first-round leader predictions.
Dustin Saracini's best picks
3M Open pick to win: Scottie Scheffler (+260)
Yes, yes, welcome to the chalkiest pick you've ever seen. But how can you not like Scheffler in this field? The world No. 1 brings elite ball-striking that perfectly suits the approach-heavy layout at TPC Twin Cities. He enters the week with some momentum following a strong, bounce-back T4 finish at The Open Championship. His baseline play is so far ahead of the field that he remains the clear favorite despite making his course debut.
3M Open top prop pick: Mac Meissner - top 10 Finish (+410)
Meissner comes into TPC Twin Cities with strong momentum following a T6 finish at the John Deere Classic and a T30 at the Scottish Open. His elite iron proximity and driving accuracy fit the exact profile needed to navigate the water-heavy layout in Minnesota. Meissner put together an incredible tournament in 2025 here, finishing T14 after shooting 16-under on the week. Ranked 32nd in strokes gained: around the green, expect Meissner to be in the mix come Sunday.
⛳ 3M Open tournament info 2026
- Where: TPC Twin Cities (Blaine, MN)
- When: Thursday, July 23 - Sunday, July 26
- Field: 144
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+260 via FanDuel)
- Defending champion: Kurt Kitayama
- Purse: $8 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
❓ 3M Open FAQs
Who is favored to win 3M Open?
Scottie Scheffler is favored at +260 via FanDuel.
Who won 3M Open last year?
Kurt Kitayama won the 2025 3M Open at -23.
Where is 3M Open?
The 3M Open is hosted annually at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, MN.
When is 3M Open?
The 3M Open will run from Thursday, July 23 - Sunday, July 26.
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