⛳ U.S. Open Odds, Favorites, & Field 2026: Shinnecock Hills Golf Club Betting Preview and Picks
Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite to win the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, N.Y. His outright U.S. Open odds of +550 lead the 156-man field this week.
But who's the best bet on the odds board? Rory McIlroy slots right in behind Scheffler at +1200, with Jon Rahm closing out the top three at +1400. Let's dive into the value we're seeing, and the best plays for the week ahead.
📊 U.S. Open odds 2026: Who'll win at Shinnecock Hills?
Here are the live odds from our best sports betting sites to win the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills. Track these odds throughout the week ahead to get the best value on your golf picks:
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🏌️ Who's favored to win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Scottie Scheffler (+550)
Scheffler, the No. 1 golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), opened as the betting favorite to win the 2026 U.S. Open. He tied for seventh in this past year's U.S. Open, matching his third-best finish in the third major.
He absolutely has a strong chance to win the U.S. Open this year, too. What makes Scheffler such a dangerous contender is how complete his game is. He's consistently one of the best players in the world tee-to-green, rarely makes big mistakes, and thrives on difficult course setups - exactly the type of conditions the U.S. Open is known for. Scheffler is ranked in the top five this season in strokes gained: off the tee, strokes gained: total, and strokes gained: around the green - making him a legit contender to win the U.S. Open this year.
That said, the U.S. Open is notoriously unpredictable. Course conditions, weather, and one bad stretch can completely change the tournament, and players like Rory McIlroy (+1200), Jon Rahm (+1400), Xander Schauffele (+1850), and Ludvig Aberg (+2600) will be threatening.
🤑 U.S. Open picks and predictions
Looking for more plays this week? Dive into LJ Blut's U.S. Open predictions, U.S. Open long shot predictions, and U.S. Open power rankings.
🔥 U.S. Open best bets for this week
Ludvig Aberg top 5 finish (+200)
This is a live bet in the middle of Aberg's first round. On a day when conditions were less than favorable (to put it mildly), the young Swede was able to navigate Shinnecock near flawlessly during Round 1. If he can carry his accuracy into the weekend, we could easily cash this.
- Pick made by Dustin Saracini
Jon Rahm top 10 finish (+145)
Jon Rahm is built for U.S. Open setups, which makes a top-10 finish a strong play this week. His strong tee-to-green game, power off the tee, and ability to recover around the greens give him a major advantage on a brutal layout like Shinnecock Hills Golf Club.
Rahm has consistently performed well in majors because of his patience and ability to limit mistakes. If he keeps the driver in play and gains with his irons, another high finish is well within reach.
- Pick made by LJ Blut
Wyndham Clark (+5000)
Wyndham Clark enters the 2026 U.S. Open as one of the most intriguing value plays on the board, carrying odds at +5000 after strong market movement this week. The 2023 U.S. Open champion knows how to handle major championship pressure, and his length off the tee is a perfect fit for Shinnecock Hills’ demanding setup.
Clark also arrives in solid form after a T11 at the RBC Canadian Open and a win earlier this spring. If his driver stays sharp, he has all the tools to contend and win again.
- Pick made by LJ Blut
🕰️ U.S. Open tee times (Round 1 & Round 2)
| Thursday / Friday | Group |
|---|---|
| 6:35 a.m. / 12:30 p.m. | James Nicholas, Taylor Montgomery, Caleb Surratt |
| 6:35 a.m. / 12:30 p.m. | Chandler Phillips, Harry Higgs, Hamilton Coleman (a) |
| 6:46 a.m. / 12:41 p.m. | Ethan Fang (a), Jayden Schaper, Jackson Suber |
| 6:46 a.m. / 12:41 p.m. | Nathan Kimsey, Jackson Herrington (a), Cooper Dossey |
| 6:57 a.m. / 12:52 p.m. | Chase Kyes (a), Matthew Jordan, Alejandro Tosti |
| 6:57 a.m. / 12:52 p.m. | Peter Uihlein, Eric Lee (a), Sam Stevens |
| 7:08 a.m. / 1:03 p.m. | Carl Yuan, Brandon Wu, Jimmy Stanger |
| 7:08 a.m. / 1:03 p.m. | Adrien Dumont de Chassart, Ben Silverman, Emiliano Grillo |
| 7:19 a.m. / 1:14 p.m. | Padraig Harrington, Miles Russell (a), Cameron Smith |
| 7:19 a.m. / 1:14 p.m. | Patrick Rodgers, Keith Mitchell, Graeme McDowell |
| 7:30 a.m. / 1:25 p.m. | Brooks Koepka, Cameron Young, Chris Gotterup |
| 7:30 a.m. / 1:25 p.m. | Sungjae Im, Lucas Herbert, Kristoffer Reitan |
| 7:41 a.m. / 1:36 p.m. | Daniel Berger, Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler |
| 7:41 a.m. / 1:36 p.m. | Sam Burns, Tyrrell Hatton, Si Woo Kim |
| 7:52 a.m. / 1:47 p.m. | Patrick Reed, Andrew Novak, Kurt Kitayama |
| 7:52 a.m. / 1:47 p.m. | Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood |
| 8:03 a.m. / 1:58 p.m. | Harris English, Adam Scott, Nick Taylor |
| 8:03 a.m. / 1:58 p.m. | Alex Noren, Maverick McNealy, Sepp Straka |
| 8:14 a.m. / 2:09 p.m. | Mason Howell (a), Scottie Scheffler, J.J. Spaun |
| 8:14 a.m. / 2:09 p.m. | Max Greyserman, Brian Harman, Jacob Bridgeman |
| 8:25 a.m. / 2:20 p.m. | Sahith Theegala, Jackson Koivun (a), Michael Kim |
| 8:25 a.m. / 2:20 p.m. | Alex Fitzpatrick, Tom Kim, Ben James |
| 8:36 a.m. / 2:31 p.m. | J.B. Holmes, Filippo Celli, Jackson Ormond (a) |
| 8:36 a.m. / 2:31 p.m. | Brandon Holtz (a), Ryuichi Oiwa, Dylan Wu |
| 8:47 a.m. / 2:42 p.m. | Jake Peacock, Vaughn Harber (a), Kaito Onishi |
| 8:47 a.m. / 2:42 p.m. | Greyson Leach, Logan Reilly (a), Robbie Higgins |
Late Thursday / Early Friday Wave
| Thursday / Friday | Group |
|---|---|
| 12:30 p.m. / 6:35 a.m. | William Mouw, Ryder Cowan (a), Hennie du Plessis |
| 12:30 p.m. / 6:35 a.m. | Niklas Norgaard, Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor, Sudarshan Yellamaraju |
| 12:41 p.m. / 6:46 a.m. | Adrien Saddier, Jackson Van Paris, Ugo Coussaud |
| 12:41 p.m. / 6:46 a.m. | Laurie Canter, John Parry, Bryan Lee (a) |
| 12:52 p.m. / 6:57 a.m. | Neal Shipley, Matti Schmid, Bud Cauley |
| 12:52 p.m. / 6:57 a.m. | Chris Kirk, Max McGreevy, Jake Knapp |
| 1:03 p.m. / 7:08 a.m. | Pierceson Coody, Zac Blair, Kevin Roy |
| 1:03 p.m. / 7:08 a.m. | Harry Hall, Michael Brennan, Andrew Putnam |
| 1:14 p.m. / 7:19 a.m. | Aaron Rai, Collin Morikawa, Jason Day |
| 1:14 p.m. / 7:19 a.m. | Davis Thompson, Preston Stout (a), David Puig |
| 1:25 p.m. / 7:30 a.m. | Bryson DeChambeau, Viktor Hovland, Matt Fitzpatrick |
| 1:25 p.m. / 7:30 a.m. | Ryo Hisatsune, Corey Conners, Ryan Fox |
| 1:36 p.m. / 7:41 a.m. | Dustin Johnson, Wyndham Clark, Gary Woodland |
| 1:36 p.m. / 7:41 a.m. | Ryan Gerard, Russell Henley, Ben Griffin |
| 1:47 p.m. / 7:52 a.m. | Joaquin Niemann, Alex Smalley, Shane Lowry |
| 1:47 p.m. / 7:52 a.m. | Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Schauffele |
| 1:58 p.m. / 8:03 a.m. | Akshay Bhatia, Carlos Ortiz, Min Woo Lee |
| 1:58 p.m. / 8:03 a.m. | Nicolai Højgaard, Nicolas Echavarria, Robert MacIntyre |
| 2:09 p.m. / 8:14 a.m. | Justin Rose, Jordan Spieth, Jon Rahm |
| 2:09 p.m. / 8:14 a.m. | J.T. Poston, Patrick Cantlay, Billy Horschel |
| 2:20 p.m. / 8:25 a.m. | Ben Kohles, Johnny Keefer, Matt McCarty |
| 2:20 p.m. / 8:25 a.m. | Arni Sveinsson (a), Taihei Sato, Marcelo Rozo |
| 2:31 p.m. / 8:36 a.m. | Angel Hidalgo, Mateo Pulcini (a), Spencer Tibbits |
| 2:31 p.m. / 8:36 a.m. | Nick Hardy, Cole Hammer, Jack Schoenberger |
| 2:42 p.m. / 8:47 a.m. | Matthew Robles (a), Jake Sollon, Manav Shah |
| 2:42 p.m. / 8:47 a.m. | Marek Fleming (a), T.K. Kim, Giuseppe Puebla (a) |
📈 Insights for the U.S. Open
“In the 126th US Open’s return to Shinnecock, world number 1 Scottie Scheffler has been getting plenty of love from bettors, especially at a more attractive price point than we saw at the first two majors of 2026. Following the recent successes of Rory McIlroy and Aaron Rai, our customers are jumping on the European bandwagon - Tommy Fleetwood and Matt Fitzpatrick are both seeing strong backing. Normally a fan favorite, Bryson DeChambeau’s missed cuts at both majors this year seem to have cooled the enthusiasm with significant action on Bryson to miss the cut. Last time the US Open was held at Shinnecock in 2018, no one finished under par. Customers clearly remember just how brutal this course can be.” – Matt Wall, Senior Trader, BetMGM
| Category | 1st | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Most Tickets (outright) | Scottie Scheffler (14.1%) | Rory McIlroy (6.5%) | Cameron Young (6.0%) |
| Most Handle (outright) | Scottie Scheffler (24.7%) | Rory McIlroy (6.2%) | Cameron Young (6.2%) |
| Biggest Liabilities | Scottie Scheffler | Cameron Young | Matt Fitzpatrick |
🎟️ U.S. Open ticket information
Most bet top 5 finishes
| Rank | Player | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | +110 |
| 2 | Tommy Fleetwood | +400 |
| 3 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +450 |
| 4 | Cameron Young | +333 |
| 5 | Xander Schauffele | +400 |
Most bet top 10 finishes
| Rank | Player | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Fleetwood | +200 |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | +200 |
| 3 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +225 |
| 4 | Russell Henley | +300 |
| 5 | Rory McIlroy | +110 |
⏰ U.S. Open first-round leader odds
Here are the first-round leader odds for the 2026 U.S. Open, via FanDuel:
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +1600 |
| Rory McIlroy | +2500 |
| Cameron Young | +3000 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +3000 |
| Ludvig Åberg | +3300 |
| Jon Rahm | +3300 |
| Xander Schauffele | +3500 |
| Si Woo Kim | +4000 |
| Sam Burns | +4000 |
| Brooks Koepka | +4000 |
| Patrick Reed | +4500 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +4500 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +4500 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +4500 |
| Chris Gotterup | +5000 |
| Maverick McNealy | +5000 |
| J. J. Spaun | +5000 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +5500 |
| Russell Henley | +5500 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | +5500 |
| Collin Morikawa | +6000 |
| Harris English | +6000 |
| Justin Thomas | +6000 |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | +6000 |
| Adam Scott | +6000 |
| Wyndham Clark | +6000 |
| Viktor Hovland | +6000 |
| Cameron Smith | +7000 |
| Justin Rose | +7000 |
| Sepp Straka | +7000 |
🏌️ U.S. Open field 2026
| Player | Country |
|---|---|
| Ludvig Åberg | Sweden |
| Daniel Berger | United States |
| Akshay Bhatia | United States |
| Zac Blair | United States |
| Keegan Bradley | United States |
| Michael Brennan | United States |
| Jacob Bridgeman | United States |
| Sam Burns | United States |
| Laurie Canter | England |
| Patrick Cantlay | United States |
| Bud Cauley | United States |
| Filippo Celli | Italy |
| Wyndham Clark | United States |
| Hamilton Coleman | United States |
| Corey Conners | Canada |
| Pierceson Coody | United States |
| Ugo Coussaud | France |
| Ryder Cowan | United States |
| Jason Day | Australia |
| Adrien Dumont de Chassart | Belgium |
| Bryson DeChambeau | United States |
| Cooper Dossey | United States |
| Hennie du Plessis | South Africa |
| Nicolas Echavarria | Colombia |
| Harris English | United States |
| Ethan Fang | United States |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | England |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | England |
| Tommy Fleetwood | England |
| Marek Fleming | United States |
| Rickie Fowler | United States |
| Ryan Fox | New Zealand |
| Ryan Gerard | United States |
| Chris Gotterup | United States |
| Max Greyserman | United States |
| Ben Griffin | United States |
| Emiliano Grillo | Argentina |
| Harry Hall | England |
| Cole Hammer | United States |
| Vaughn Harber | United States |
| Nick Hardy | United States |
| Brian Harman | United States |
| Padraig Harrington | Ireland |
| Tyrrell Hatton | England |
| Russell Henley | United States |
| Lucas Herbert | Australia |
| Jackson Herrington | United States |
| Angel Hidalgo | Spain |
| Robbie Higgins | United States |
| Harry Higgs | United States |
| Ryo Hisatsune | Japan |
| Nicolai Højgaard | Denmark |
| J. B. Holmes | United States |
| Brandon Holtz | United States |
| Billy Horschel | United States |
| Viktor Hovland | Norway |
| Mason Howell | United States |
| Sungjae Im | South Korea |
| Ben James | United States |
| Dustin Johnson | United States |
| Matthew Jordan | England |
| Johnny Keefer | United States |
| Tom Kim | South Korea |
| T. K. Kim | United States |
| Michael Kim | United States |
| Si Woo Kim | South Korea |
| Nathan Kimsey | England |
| Chris Kirk | United States |
| Kurt Kitayama | United States |
| Jake Knapp | United States |
| Brooks Koepka | United States |
| Ben Kohles | United States |
| Jackson Koivun | United States |
| Chase Kyes | United States |
| Greyson Leach | United States |
| Eric Lee | United States |
| Bryan Lee | United States |
| Min Woo Lee | Australia |
| Shane Lowry | Ireland |
| Robert MacIntyre | Scotland |
| Hideki Matsuyama | Japan |
| Matt McCarty | United States |
| Graeme McDowell | Northern Ireland |
| Max McGreevy | United States |
| Rory McIlroy | Northern Ireland |
| Maverick McNealy | United States |
| Keith Mitchell | United States |
| Taylor Montgomery | United States |
| Collin Morikawa | United States |
| William Mouw | United States |
| James Nicholas | United States |
| Joaquin Niemann | Chile |
| Alex Noren | Sweden |
| Niklas Norgaard | Denmark |
| Andrew Novak | United States |
| Ryuichi Oiwa | Japan |
| Kaito Onishi | Japan |
| Jackson Ormond | United States |
| Carlos Ortiz | Mexico |
| John Parry | England |
| Jake Peacock | United States |
| Chandler Phillips | United States |
| J. T. Poston | United States |
| Giuseppe Puebla | United States |
| David Puig | Spain |
| Mateo Pulcini | Argentina |
| Andrew Putnam | United States |
| Jon Rahm | Spain |
| Aaron Rai | England |
| Patrick Reed | United States |
| Logan Reilly | United States |
| Kristoffer Reitan | Norway |
| Rocco Repetto Taylor | Spain |
| Matthew Robles | United States |
| Patrick Rodgers | United States |
| Justin Rose | England |
| Kevin Roy | United States |
| Marcelo Rozo | Colombia |
| Miles Russell | United States |
| Adrien Saddier | France |
| Taihei Sato | Japan |
| Jayden Schaper | South Africa |
| Xander Schauffele | United States |
| Scottie Scheffler | United States |
| Matti Schmid | Germany |
| Jack Schoenberger | United States |
| Adam Scott | Australia |
| Manav Shah | United States |
| Neal Shipley | United States |
| Ben Silverman | Canada |
| Alex Smalley | United States |
| Cameron Smith | Australia |
| Jake Sollon | United States |
| J. J. Spaun | United States |
| Jordan Spieth | United States |
| Jimmy Stanger | United States |
| Sam Stevens | United States |
| Preston Stout | United States |
| Sepp Straka | Austria |
| Jackson Suber | United States |
| Caleb Surratt | United States |
| Arni Sveinsson | Iceland |
| Nick Taylor | Canada |
| Sahith Theegala | United States |
| Justin Thomas | United States |
| Davis Thompson | United States |
| Spencer Tibbits | United States |
| Alejandro Tosti | Argentina |
| Peter Uihlein | United States |
| Jackson Van Paris | United States |
| Gary Woodland | United States |
| Dylan Wu | United States |
| Brandon Wu | United States |
⛳ U.S. Open info 2026
- When: Thursday, June 18 - Sunday, June 21
- Where: Shinnecock Hills Golf Club (Southampton, N.Y.)
- How to watch: NBC, Peacock
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+360 via bet365)
- Defending champion: J.J. Spaun
- Field: 156
- Cut: Low 60 scores (plus ties)
📊 Opening U.S. Open odds 2026
Here are the opening U.S. Open odds from bet365:
- Scottie Scheffler (+360)
- Rory McIlroy (+950)
- Bryson DeChambeau (+950)
- Jon Rahm (+1300)
- Xander Schauffele (+2200)
- Ludvig Aberg (+2200)
- Collin Morikawa (+2700)
- Viktor Hovland (+3000)
- Tyrrell Hatton (+3200)
- Justin Thomas (+3500)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+4500)
- Shane Lowry (+4500)
- Patrick Cantlay (+4500)
- Brooks Koepka (+4500)
- Joaquin Niemann (+4500)
- Ben Griffin (+5000)
- Hideki Matsuyama (+5500)
- Russell Henley (+5500)
- Jordan Spieth (+5500)
- Sam Burns (+5500)
- Robert MacIntyre (+5500)
- Sepp Straka (+6000)
- Corey Conners (+6000)
- Adam Scott (+9000)
- Jason Day (+9000)
- Tony Finau (+9000)
- Maverick McNealy (+9000)
- Cameron Young (+9000)
- Will Zalatoris (+9000)
- Min Woo Lee (+9000)
- J.J. Spaun (+9000)
- Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (+9000)
🌳 Shinnecock Hills course profile
- Par: 70
- Length: 7,440
- Greens: Poa annua
- Architect: William S. Flynn
⛳ U.S. Open field
The 2026 U.S. Open field will be capped at 156 golfers.
Here are the qualifying reqirements:
- Winners of the U.S. Open (last 10 years)
- Ten lowest scores (including ties) from 2024 U.S. Open
- Winner of the 2025 U.S. Senior Open
- Winner of the 2025 U.S. Amateur Championship
- Winners of the 2025 U.S. Junior Amateur and U.S. Mid-Amateur, and the 2024 U.S. Amateur runner-up
- Winners of the Maters (last five years)
- Winners of the PGA Championship (last six years
- Winners of the British Open (last five years)
- Winners of The Players Championship (last three years)
- Winner of the 2025 European BMW PGA Championship
- Players who qualified for and were eligible for the season-ending 2024 Tour Championship
- Multiple winners of PGA Tour events that award a full-point allocation for the FedEx Cup since the 2024 U.S. Open
- Top five players in the 2025 FedEx Cup standings as of May 20, 2025 who are not otherwise exempt
- Points leader from the 2025 Korn Ferry Tour season
- Top two players from the final 2025 Race to Dubai rankings who are not otherwise exempt
- Top player on the 2026 Race to Dubai rankings as of May 20, 2026 who is not otherwise exempt
- Winner of the 2025 The Amateur Championship conducted by the R&A (must be an amateur)
- Winner of the 2025 Mark H. McCormack Medal
- Winner of the 2025 NCAA Division I Men's Individual Golf Championship (must be an amateur)
- Winner of the 2025 Latin America Amateur Championship (must be an amateur)
- From the current OWGR, the top 60 points leaders and ties as of May 20, 2026
- From the current OWGR, the top 60 points leaders and ties as of June 10, 2026
- Special exemptions by the USGA
💰 U.S. Open betting history
| Year | Name | Odds (as of Jan. 1) | Course |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | J.J. Spaun | +12500 | Oakmont Country Club |
| 2024 | Bryson DeChambeau | +3000 | Pinehurst No. 2 |
| 2023 | Wyndham Clark | NA (+10000 prior to Round 1) | Los Angeles Country Club |
| 2022 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +5000 | The Country Club |
| 2021 | Jon Rahm | +1200 | Torrey Pines |
| 2020 | Bryson DeChambeau | +3000 | Winged Foot Golf Club |
| 2019 | Gary Woodland | +8000 | Pebble Beach Golf Links |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +4000 | Shinnecock Hills |
| 2017 | Brooks Koepka | +4000 | Erin Hills |
| 2016 | Dustin Johnson | +1500 | Oakmont Country Club |
❓U.S. Open FAQs
Who is the U.S. Open favorite?
Scottie Scheffler is the favorite by the 2026 U.S. Open odds, with opening odds of +360 via bet365 implying a 21.74% win probability.
Who won last year's U.S. Open?
J.J. Spaun won last year's U.S. Open at -1.
When is the 2026 U.S. Open?
The 2026 U.S. Open will be played from June 18-21.
Where is the 2026 U.S. Open?
The 2026 U.S. Open will be played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, N.Y.
How can you watch the U.S. Open?
USA Network and NBC hold the U.S. broadcasting rights for the U.S. Open. Parts of the tournament can also be streamed on Peacock.
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