How to Bet Brooks Koepka's PGA Tour Return: 5-Time Major Champ Returns to Farmers Insurance Open
Welcome back, Brooks.
Koepka returns to the PGA Tour today after four years with LIV, sporting +6000 betting odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. While he's considered an extreme long shot, are there other ways to cash in on "Big Game Brooks"? Let's dive into how to bet Brooks Koepka in his first start back on Tour.
📊 Brooks Koepka betting odds for Farmers Insurance Open
| Market | Odds (Approx.) | Implied probability | Betting context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outright Winner | +5500 to +6600 | 1.5% to 1.8% | Long shot status. |
| Top 10 finish | +390 to +500 | 16.7% to 20.4% | A "sharp" favorite for those who expect him to grind out a result. |
| Top 20 finish | +220 | 31.2% | High-value bet if you believe his ball-striking remains elite despite. |
| To make the cut | -150 | 60.0% | Relatively "nervous" odds, reflecting his poor history with the North/South rotation. |
Scanning the odds, the smartest angles are sticking with a top-10 or top-20 finish. You’re still finding value without wandering into lottery-ticket territory - firing on deep long shots while he works off the rust in his PGA Tour return is basically lighting money on fire.
Following his exit from LIV Golf, he enters the week at No. 255 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR).
💰 Best bet for Brooks Koepka at Torrey Pines
Koepka hasn't had the best history at Torrey Pines. The five-time major champion missed the cut in his last three appearances, but he did record a fourth-place finish in 2021 when the South Course hosted the U.S. Open. Of course, the South Course will host three of four rounds played this week, so there is some momentum here to back Koepka for a top-10 or top-20 finish, as I'm doing in my Farmers Insurance outright picks.
Torrey Pines is a beast of a layout - with seven par-4s stretching past 450 yards on the South Course and a steady diet of 200-plus-yard approach shots. That setup screams Brooks Koepka, assuming his ball-striking continues to look dialed in.
Koepka's Driving Distance was ranked 17th on tour the last time he played a full season. However, if his accuracy isn't there off the tee, he'll be battling the thick roughs at Torrey Pines all week long. There's a middle ground to be found here, and Koepka to finish either top 10 (+500) or top 20 (+220) are undoubtedly the best bets to make this week.
Our Esten McLaren is keeping a close eye on him throughout the year with his Brooks Koepka major odds and 2026 schedule. While our LJ Blut is all over the long shots at the Farmers Insurance Open.
🏌️ Brooks Koepka tee times for Farmers Insurance Open
Here's when Brooks Koepka will be teeing off at the Farmers Insurance Open for the first two rounds at Torrey Pines:
| Day | Tee time for Koepka | Course |
|---|---|---|
| Thursday (Round 1) | 12:32 p.m. ET | Torrey Pines South (Hole 1) |
| Friday (Round 2) | 1:38 p.m. ET | Torrey Pines North (Hole 10) |
📺 How to watch Brooks Koepka at the Farmers Insurance Open
The PGA Tour and ESPN announced that the first two rounds of the Farmers Insurance Open will air live on ESPN, highlighting Brooks Koepka’s return to PGA Tour action.
| Date | Time (ET) | Coverage | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday, Jan 29 | Noon - 3 p.m. ET | ESPN | Streamed on Hulu & Disney+ |
| Friday, Jan 30 | Noon - 3 p.m. ET | ESPN | Streamed on Hulu & Disney+ |
| Friday, Jan 30 | 3 p.m. ET onward | Golf Channel | Live coverage continues after ESPN window |
ESPN will air live coverage from 12:00 to 3:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jan. 29, and Friday, Jan. 30, featuring Brooks Koepka heading a 145-player field at Torrey Pines Golf Course. This is the first time in almost 20 years that ESPN is broadcasting a non-major PGA Tour event live, with streaming also available on Hulu and Disney+. Following 3:00 p.m. ET each day, coverage shifts to Golf Channel for the remainder of the rounds.
Koepka will play in a featured group for both rounds alongside Max Homa, a former Farmers Insurance Open champion, and Ludvig Aberg, who claimed a Tour victory at Torrey Pines last year.
🧠 Farmers Insurance Open expert picks
- First-round leader picks
- Expert picks
- Outright odds & info
- How to bet Brooks Koepka
- Long-shot picks
📊 Farmers Insurance Open betting trends
Betting trends are courtesy of BetMGM
| Category | Player | Data |
|---|---|---|
| Line movement (Opening → Current) | Xander Schauffele | +1600 → +1400 |
| Brooks Koepka | +5000 → +6000 | |
| Most tickets 🎟️ | Cameron Young | 5.9% |
| Brooks Koepka | 5.7% | |
| Ludvig Åberg | 5.7% | |
| Most handle 💸 | Xander Schauffele | 10.3% |
| Jake Knapp | 7.3% | |
| Max Homa | 7.2% | |
| Biggest liabilities 💰 | Chris Gotterup | – |
| Jake Knapp | – | |
| Cameron Young | – |
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