⛳ PGA Championship Picks & Predictions 2026: Best Bets to Win, Top Finishes & Prop Bets For Aronimink
📡 SBR Edge: PGA Championship picks
Major championship season continues as the world’s best golfers descend upon Newtown Square, Pa, for the 108th PGA Championship at the historic Aronimink Golf Club. The golf world turns its attention to a venue with virtually no major championship history for the current field, creating a wide-open betting board and a fresh puzzle for handicappers to solve. Let’s break down my favorite outright winner, sleeper pick, and top-finisher bets for the second major of the year.
💰 PGA Championship picks 2026
Here are our top golf picks for the PGA Championship
| 📊 Market | 💰 Pick | 📈 Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Outright winner | Rory McIlroy | +850 via BetMGM |
| Long shot winner | Shane Lowry | +8000 via FanDuel |
| Top 5 finish | Cameron Young | +270 via DraftKings |
📊 PGA Championship odds, favorites, field
Get everything you need to know for the biggest event of the season with me as I dive deep into the PGA Championship odds.
🏆 PGA Championship pick to win: Rory McIlroy (+850)
Rory has arguably the highest ceiling at Aronimink. His high-launch driving fits this long Par 70 perfectly, and after a warm-up T-19 at the Truist Championship, he's historically thrived on classical northeastern layouts. Not to mention the man is in solid form heading into this week. McIlroy already has four top-25 finishes this year (yes, we all know he's a back-to-back Masters champion to boot) and shot 18-under the last time he played at Aronimink Golf Club in 2017-18 for the BMW Championship. Fire him up.
🎯 PGA Championship sleeper picks
Shane Lowry (+8000)
This is a massive discrepancy price. Lowry is a major champion (2019 Open) who excels in difficult conditions. On a course where the rough is unflinchingly difficult, Lowry's patient scrambling and mid-iron play make him a top-tier sleeper. Lowry has been hovering as a potential breakout candidate with four top-25 finishes and two top-10 finishes - I love him at +8000 this week.
Gary Woodland (+10000)
Don’t look now, but Woodland is quietly piecing together an impressive comeback season at the perfect time heading into Aronimink. While most bettors are focused on the star power near the top of the board, Woodland brings an outstanding statistical fit for this course. He also has valuable experience at Aronimink after posting a T-12 finish at the 2018 BMW Championship, carding four straight rounds of 67 or lower. On a lengthy, challenging parkland setup that rewards major winners capable of navigating thick rough and massive greens, Woodland’s recent form makes him a tremendous value play. Personally, I’d have this long shot priced much closer to +8000 entering the week.
🤑 Looking for more PGA Championship sleeper picks?
Our LJ Blut has you completely covered for the second major of the season with his PGA Championship long shot and sleeper picks and PGA Championship props, while I dug into ChatGPT and Gemini to find our PGA Championship AI predictions.
🔥 My favorite PGA Championship bet
Cameron Young top 5 finish (+270)
You'd have a tough time finding many golfers playing better than Young at the moment. He's recorded seven consecutive top-25 finishes dating back to the Genesis Invitational, making his current odds feel longer than they should be - I expected something closer to +200. Young ranks inside the top 10 in both strokes gained: off the tee and strokes gained: total, a combination that should put him firmly in contention for a top-five finish this week.
🥇 First-Round leader picks:
Our LJ Blut wrote his favorite first Round leader predictions in his PGA Championship first-Round leader prediction & odds, including a pick on Cameron Young.
🎟️ 2026 PGA Championship ticket information
| Golfer | Odds | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Young | +2500 | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Scottie Scheffler | +1600 | 5.4% | 6.7% |
| Rory McIlroy | +2200 | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Justin Rose | +5000 | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ludvig Åberg | +3500 | 4.1% | 14.6% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +4000 | 3.7% | 12.4% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | +8000 | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Jon Rahm | +3000 | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +3300 | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Rickie Fowler | +5500 | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Chris Gotterup | +6000 | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Xander Schauffele | +3000 | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +3500 | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Collin Morikawa | +4500 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Austin Smotherman | +17500 | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Spieth | +6000 | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicolai Højgaard | +6000 | 1.7% | 12.6% |
Most tickets
| Rank | Golfer | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 13.7% |
| 2 | Cameron Young | 9.6% |
| 3 | Rory McIlroy | 5.8% |
Most handle
| Rank | Golfer | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 23.2% |
| 2 | Cameron Young | 9.8% |
| 3 | Ludvig Åberg | 7.2% |
Biggest liabilities
| Rank | Golfer |
|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Spieth |
| 2 | Scottie Scheffler |
| 3 | Cameron Young |
💰 PGA Championship betting history
| Year | Name | Odds (prior to Round 1) | Course |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Scottie Scheffler | +500 | Quail Hollow Club |
| 2024 | Xander Schauffele | +1400 | Valhalla Golf Club |
| 2023 | Brooks Koepka | +2000 | Oak Hill |
| 2022 | Justin Thomas | +1600 | Southern Hills |
| 2021 | Phil Mickelson | +25000 | Kiawah Island |
| 2020 | Collin Morikawa | +3000 | TPC Harding Park |
| 2019 | Brooks Koepka | +1000 | Bethpage Black |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +1800 | Bellerive |
Historical golf odds via SportsOddsHistory.com
🕰️ PGA Championship tee times (Round 1 & 2)
| Thursday / Friday Tee Times | Players |
|---|---|
| 6:45 a.m. / 12:10 p.m. | Braden Shattuck*, Alex Fitzpatrick, Ben Griffin |
| 6:56 a.m. / 12:21 p.m. | Francisco Bide*, Harry Hall, Ryan Gerard |
| 7:07 a.m. / 12:32 p.m. | John Keefer, Rico Hoey, Nicolai Højgaard |
| 7:18 a.m. / 12:43 p.m. | Shaun Micheel, Michael Brennan, Garrick Higgo |
| 7:29 a.m. / 12:54 p.m. | Y.E. Yang, Jhonattan Vegas, Matt McCarty |
| 7:40 a.m. / 1:05 p.m. | Lucas Glover, Tom McKibbin, Stephan Jaeger |
| 7:51 a.m. / 1:16 p.m. | Daniel Brown, Adrien Saddier, Harris English |
| 8:02 a.m. / 1:27 p.m. | Jacob Bridgeman, Bud Cauley, Alex Noren |
| 8:13 a.m. / 1:38 p.m. | Chris Kirk, Max Greyserman, Kristoffer Reitan |
| 8:24 a.m. / 1:49 p.m. | Maverick McNealy, Thomas Detry, Padraig Harrington |
| 8:35 a.m. / 2:00 p.m. | Ryan Lenahan*, Ryan Fox, Kazuki Higa |
| 8:46 a.m. / 2:11 p.m. | Jared Jones*, Michael Kim, Ryo Hisatsune |
| 8:57 a.m. / 2:22 p.m. | Tyler Collet*, Kota Kaneko, Brandt Snedeker |
| 12:15 p.m. / 6:50 a.m. | Andrew Novak, John Parry, Jordan Gumberg |
| 12:26 p.m. / 7:01 a.m. | Ben Polland*, Kurt Kitayama, Nico Echavarria |
| 12:37 p.m. / 7:12 a.m. | Akshay Bhatia, Ricky Castillo, Michael Thorbjornsen |
| 12:48 p.m. / 7:23 a.m. | Luke Donald, Jesse Droemer*, Stewart Cink |
| 12:59 p.m. / 7:34 a.m. | Hideki Matsuyama, J.J. Spaun, Max Homa |
| 1:10 p.m. / 7:45 a.m. | Ben Kern*, J.T. Poston, Russell Henley |
| 1:21 p.m. / 7:56 a.m. | Adam Scott, Corey Conners, Daniel Berger |
| 1:32 p.m. / 8:07 a.m. | Viktor Hovland, Collin Morikawa, Shane Lowry |
| 1:43 p.m. / 8:18 a.m. | Chris Gotterup, Robert MacIntyre, Tommy Fleetwood |
| 1:54 p.m. / 8:29 a.m. | Cameron Young, Keegan Bradley, Justin Thomas |
| 2:05 p.m. / 8:40 a.m. | Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose |
| 2:16 p.m. / 8:51 a.m. | Zach Haynes*, Alex Smalley, Chandler Blanchet |
| 2:27 p.m. / 9:02 a.m. | Bernd Wiesberger, Sudarshan Yellamaraju, Andy Sullivan |
More tee times
| Thursday (10 tee) / Friday (1 tee) Tee Times | Players |
|---|---|
| 6:50 a.m. / 12:15 p.m. | Aldrich Potgieter, David Puig, Denny McCarthy |
| 7:01 a.m. / 12:26 p.m. | William Mouw, Chris Gabriele*, Taylor Pendrith |
| 7:12 a.m. / 12:37 p.m. | Tom Hoge, Bryce Fisher*, Joaquin Niemann |
| 7:23 a.m. / 12:48 p.m. | Keith Mitchell, Billy Horschel, Ian Holt |
| 7:34 a.m. / 12:59 p.m. | Gary Woodland, Jason Day, Sam Burns |
| 7:45 a.m. / 1:10 p.m. | Wyndham Clark, Cameron Smith, Brian Harman |
| 7:56 a.m. / 1:21 p.m. | Patrick Cantlay, Min Woo Lee, Sahith Theegala |
| 8:07 a.m. / 1:32 p.m. | Si Woo Kim, Derek Berg*, Joe Highsmith |
| 8:18 a.m. / 1:43 p.m. | Bryson DeChambeau, Ludvig Åberg, Rickie Fowler |
| 8:29 a.m. / 1:54 p.m. | Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka, Tyrrell Hatton |
| 8:40 a.m. / 2:05 p.m. | Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Jon Rahm |
| 8:51 a.m. / 2:16 p.m. | Daniel Hillier, Ryan Vermeer*, Max McGreevy |
| 9:02 a.m. / 2:27 p.m. | Paul McClure*, Mikael Lindberg, Angel Ayora |
| 12:10 p.m. / 6:45 a.m. | Michael Block*, Rasmus Højgaard, Dustin Johnson |
| 12:21 p.m. / 6:56 a.m. | Mark Geddes*, Steven Fisk, David Lipsky |
| 12:32 p.m. / 7:07 a.m. | Sungjae Im, Austin Hurt*, Casey Jarvis |
| 12:43 p.m. / 7:18 a.m. | Andrew Putnam, Michael Kartrude*, Matt Wallace |
| 12:54 p.m. / 7:29 a.m. | Martin Kaymer, Elvis Smylie, Davis Riley |
| 1:05 p.m. / 7:40 a.m. | Jason Dufner, Haotong Li, Jimmy Walker |
| 1:16 p.m. / 7:51 a.m. | Nick Taylor, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Jordan Smith |
| 1:27 p.m. / 8:02 a.m. | Emiliano Grillo, Patrick Reed, Pierceson Coody |
| 1:38 p.m. / 8:13 a.m. | Brian Campbell, Adam Schenk, Christiaan Bezuidenhout |
| 1:49 p.m. / 8:24 a.m. | Marco Penge, Sepp Straka, Patrick Rodgers |
| 2:00 p.m. / 8:35 a.m. | Aaron Rai, Travis Smyth, Sami Valimaki |
| 2:11 p.m. / 8:46 a.m. | Sam Stevens, Jayden Schaper, Garrett Sapp* |
| 2:22 p.m. / 8:57 a.m. | Timothy Wiseman*, Matti Schmid, Austin Smotherman |
⚖️ How I'm handicapping the PGA Championship
While recent PGA Championships have often devolved into bomb-and-gouge contests, the Gil Hanse restoration of Aronimink has narrowed landing zones and reintroduced 174 bunkers that punish sheer aggression. Consequently, I am overweighting strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: total this week.
🏆 2026 PGA Championship info
- When: May 14-17
- Where: Aronomink Golf Club (Newton Square, Pa.)
- Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+480 via FanDuel)
- How to watch: ESPN and CBS
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