⛳ Players Championship Round 3 Picks & Predictions: Ludvig Aberg Atop the Leaderboard
Last Updated: March 13, 2026 8:12 PM EDT • 4 minute read Google News Link
My Players Championship Round 3 picks and predictions are set as the tournament moves into what should be a thrilling day at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. With the leaderboard tightly bunched, it presents a prime opportunity for golf bettors to get involved with live wagers on the outright winner and a range of finishing position markets.
Third-round props can offer strong betting value if you’ve been closely following how the opening two rounds have played out. Weather shouldn’t be a factor on Saturday, with clear and comfortable conditions expected at TPC Sawgrass. The rest of the field will be trying to track down Ludvig Aberg, who enters the day atop the leaderboard at 12-under par.
Let’s dive into the best value plays heading into Saturday’s action.
⛳ Players Championship Round 3 leaderboard & odds
Here is The Players Championship leaderboard heading into Round 3 at TPC Sawgrass; outright odds via FanDuel.
| Position | Golfer | Score (to par) | Odds to win |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludvig Aberg | -12 | +155 |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | -10 | +350 |
| 3 | Cameron Young | -9 | +600 |
| T-4 | Corey Conners | -8 | +1500 |
| T-4 | Justin Thomas | -8 | +1300 |
| 6 | Sepp Straka | -7 | +1800 |
| T-7 | Jacob Bridgeman | -6 | +3300 |
| T-7 | Lee Hodges | -6 | +10000 |
| T-7 | Maverick McNealy | -6 | +3500 |
| T-10 | Brian Harman | -5 | +12500 |
| T-10 | Michael Thorbjornsen | -5 | +10000 |
| T-10 | Matt Fitzpatrick | -5 | +1300 |
| T-10 | Tommy Fleetwood | -5 | +5500 |
| T-10 | Viktor Hovland | -5 | +4000 |
| T-10 | Russell Henley | -5 | +4000 |
| T-10 | Austin Smotherman | -5 | +15000 |
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🏆 Who'll win the Players Championship?
Here are my golf picks for Round 3 of the Players Championship on Friday:
Ludvig Aberg (+155)
Ludvig Aberg is in prime position to capture The Players Championship as he heads into the weekend with a commanding performance at TPC Sawgrass. The Swedish star sits in first place at 12-under par, holding a two-shot lead over Xander Schauffele after an incredible opening two rounds.
Aberg’s second-round surge showcased exactly why he’s one of the most dangerous young players in golf. He fired a stunning 63 on Friday, including a front-nine 29 and a chip-in eagle that electrified the crowd and demonstrated his ability to go extremely low on this course. Beyond the scoring, Aberg’s ball-striking has been elite, consistently hitting greens and creating birdie opportunities. His calm demeanor under pressure and ability to attack the course without making big mistakes make him especially dangerous with a lead.
💰 Best Round 3 props for the Players Championship
Viktor Hovland: Top 10 finish (+135)
Viktor Hovland is in a strong position to secure a top-10 finish at The Players Championship as the tournament heads into the weekend at TPC Sawgrass. The Norwegian star currently sits T-10 at 5-under par, putting him firmly within striking distance of the leaders while already holding a place inside the top 10.
He’s one of the best ball-strikers on the PGA Tour, and when his iron play is dialed in, he regularly generates scoring opportunities on demanding courses like Sawgrass. His ability to limit big mistakes is also crucial on a course where water hazards can quickly derail a round.Beyond that, Hovland has proven he can compete with the best in big events, including multiple top finishes in majors throughout his career. Viktor Hovland has the experience, composure, and current form to maintain his position on the leaderboard and finish the week inside the top 10.
Tommy Fleetwood: Top UK and Ireland (+105)
Tommy Fleetwood is in an excellent position to finish as the Top UK & Ireland player at The Players Championship as the tournament heads into the weekend at TPC Sawgrass. Fleetwood currently sits T-10 at 5-under par, keeping him firmly in contention while also leading the charge among players from the UK and Ireland.
His biggest competition in this market is Matt Fitzpatrick, who is also T-10 at 5-under, setting up a tight battle between the two English stars over the final 36 holes. However, Fleetwood’s steady ball-striking and ability to avoid big numbers on a demanding course like Sawgrass give him a slight edge. Fleetwood has long been known for his consistency in elite fields, and his calm approach fits perfectly on a course that punishes aggressive mistakes
Xander Schauffele: Top North American (+170)
Xander Schauffele is in an excellent position to finish as the Top North American player at The Players Championship as the tournament heads into the weekend at TPC Sawgrass. Schauffele currently sits second on the leaderboard at 10-under par, putting him firmly in contention for the title while also making him the current leader in the Top North American market.
Schauffele’s performance through two rounds has been extremely impressive. He fired a brilliant 7-under 65, one of the best rounds of the tournament, showcasing elite ball-striking and precise iron play that fits perfectly with the demanding layout at Sawgrass. Beyond the scoring, Schauffele’s experience in big events gives him a clear advantage over many of the players chasing him. He has consistently contended in major championships and elite PGA Tour events, proving he can handle pressure on the weekend.
Our Dustin Saracini broke down his favorite Players Championship picks with several of his picks in contention.
🌤️ Saturday's weather at TPC Sawgrass
Weather from Accuweather.com:
| 🌤️ Category | 📊 Details |
|---|---|
| 🌡️ High Temperature | 72 degrees |
| 🌫️ Conditions | Beautiful with sun and areas of low clouds |
| 🌬️ Wind | 10 mph |
| 💨 Wind Gusts | 21 mph |
| 🌧️ Precipitation Probability | 25% |
| 🌧️ Expected Precipitation | 0.00 in |
| ☁️ Cloud Cover | 76% |
💵 My betting record for golf picks
All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0-4 | -1 units ❌ | -100% ❌ |
| Prop bets | 0-3 | -.75 units ❌ | -100% ❌ |
LJ Blut