MLB Projected Win Totals & Over/Under Wins Odds 2026: Picks For All 30 Teams

The top projection models have dropped their 2026 standings, so let's dive into the MLB projected win totals and Over/Under wins odds and find some early edges with spring training in its early stages.

The usual suspects enter the spring with the highest win totals, while some teams look poised to soar Over numbers that are far too low.

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📊 MLB win totals odds 2025

We've shopped exclusively at FanDuel for our MLB projected win totals and Over/Under wins odds, but they're widely available at the best sports betting sites. We've sorted teams by division, and then listed them based on their 2025 record.

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💰 MLB win totals odds: My top bets

You can find these and all other my other futures bets in a thread on X!

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⚾ AL East win totals odds

⬆️ Toronto Blue Jays Over 87.5 wins

The Blue Jays finished with 94 wins last year and should at least be close to as good. They lost Bo Bichette but added Dylan Cease to the rotation, and a full season of Trey Yesavage should stabilize this total somewhere in the range of 90 wins.

✅ Prediction: Over 87.5 wins (-120 via FanDuel)

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⬇️ New York Yankees Under 90.5 wins

The Yankees also finished with 94 wins last season, and based on projected WAR, look about even with the Blue Jays this season. I'd be more confident on the Over if this total was two wins lower at 88.5, so I'm rocking with the Under with what looks like a 90 or 91-win team.

✅ Prediction: Under 90.5 wins (-112 via FanDuel)  

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⬆️ Boston Red Sox Over 87.5 wins

Some may say the Red Sox overperformed by earning 89 wins last year. Even if that was true, I'd argue they got better this offseason despite losing Alex Bregman. The rotation got the key additions of Ranger Suarez and Sonny Gray, and Boston's pitching is actually projected to produce the most WAR among all teams this season. Prepare for an ultra-competitive AL East.

✅ Prediction: Over 87.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)

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⬆️ Tampa Bay Rays Over 76.5 wins

The days of the Rays competing in the AL East are over, but they're still a highly competitive team, especially compared to this number. I don't think the Rays will challenge for the division, but 77 wins shouldn't be as difficult as FanDuel is making it seem with its +100 odds.

✅ Prediction: Over 76.5 wins (+100 via FanDuel)  

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⬆️ Baltimore Orioles Over 86.5 wins

The Orioles added Pete Alonso and should hopefully benefit from a bit more luck in the injury department this year. They represent one of my favorite World Series odds and value picks ahead of the season. I know the Orioles don't profile as the best team in the division with spring training underway, but they have the vibe of a ballclub that could get aggressive around the trade deadline.

✅ Prediction: Over 86.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)  

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⚾ AL Central win totals odds

⬇️ Cleveland Guardians Under 78.5 wins

This is the only team in the AL Central that I'm really down on. Somehow, the Guardians won 88 games last year, but they won't come close to that mark in 2026. They're projected to be in the bottom eight in terms of WAR produced by their players this season.

✅ Prediction: Under 78.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)  

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⬆️ Detroit Tigers Over 85.5 wins

Even with their brutal collapse to end the 2025 season, they finished with 87 wins. They should eclipse this total this season barring another catastrophic second half.

✅ Prediction: Over 85.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)    

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⬆️ Kansas City Royals Over 82.5 wins

The Royals are one of the toughest teams to judge here in February. They have some interesting pieces, but they still feel pretty mid overall. I think they'll finish with a win total right around this mark, but I'm going to bet on the talent of Bobby Witt and some of his exciting teammates and take them to go better than .500.

✅ Prediction: Over 82.5 wins (-108 via FanDuel)    

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⬆️ Minnesota Twins Over 74.5 wins

The Twins could very well trade Joe Ryan during the season, but I still think they're good enough to win 75-plus games in a weak division this year. They still have a number of very interesting players, and this total is too low.

✅ Prediction: Over 74.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)      

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⬆️ Chicago White Sox Over 67.5 wins

The White Sox do still stink, but this is a super low total for a team that's actively trying to improve. I think the White Sox finish with closer to 70 wins, and most projection models agree.

✅ Prediction: Over 67.5 wins (-105 via FanDuel)        

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⚾ AL West win totals odds

⬆️ Seattle Mariners Over 90.5 wins

I expect the ultra-talented Mariners to be the cream of the crop in the AL West. They won 90 games last year and now get a full season of Josh Naylor, they added Brendan Donovan, and they continue to feature arguably the best rotation in the AL. It's entirely possible they finish with the best record in baseball. I also bet on them to win the World Series.

✅ Prediction: Over 90.5 wins (-106 via FanDuel)      

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⬇️ Houston Astros Under 85.5 wins

The Astros overachieved in 2025. They managed 87 wins despite just a plus-21 run differential. That was worse or equal to five teams that finished with fewer wins than Houston. With Framber Valdez gone, a team that relied heavily on run suppression last year won't be able to string together wins in the same fashion. I see Houston as a .500 team.

✅ Prediction: Under 85.5 wins (-118 via FanDuel)          

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⬇️ Texas Rangers Under 83.5 wins

Here's another team that I believe will hover right around .500 this year. The Rangers are both relatively injury prone - Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi, Corey Seager, Evan Carter - and lacking high-end talent at multiple positions. They're fine, but they're not 84-plus wins fine.

✅ Prediction: Under 83.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)            

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⬆️ Athletics Over 75.5 wins

The Athletics finished with 76 wins last year, and I think they'll creep toward that number again this year. Call me crazy, but I'm pretty excited to watch this team play baseball this year. It's a shame the fans in Oakland were robbed of this era of Athletics baseball.

✅ Prediction: Over 75.5 wins (-112 via FanDuel)              

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⬇️ Los Angeles Angels Under 70.5 wins

The Angels are absolutely not a 70-win team. Sure, they won 72 games last year, but they had the third-worst run differential in baseball. Mike Trout will get hurt, the rotation is already banged-up, and the bullpen features some of the most washed-up relievers in the majors. 

✅ Prediction: Under 70.5 wins (-118 via FanDuel)                

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⚾ NL East win totals

⬆️ Philadelphia Phillies Over 89.5 wins

The Phillies represent one of my favorite World Series picks with spring training around the corner. They have it all: the lineup, the rotation, the bullpen, and they're being undervalued for whatever reason. Philadelphia should be trading at a total closer to 92.5 wins, so I'll gladly take advantage of this deflated number.

✅ Prediction: Over 89.5 wins (-102 via FanDuel)        

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⬆️ New York Mets Over 90.5 wins

I'm all-in on the Mets this regular season. The playoffs is a different story, as I don't think they have the pitching to hang with the best in a postseason series. But they can absolutely do enough to rack up wins in bunches during the campaign. I also see them as a candidate to lead MLB in wins this season.

✅ Prediction: Over 90.5 wins (-112 via FanDuel)          

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⬆️ Miami Marlins Over 72.5 wins

The Marlins finished with nearly a .500 record last year despite being terrible. And though I don't think they get close to that number again, they have some young, exciting players in the lineup and rotation. I think this is a 74 or 75-win team.

✅ Prediction: Over 72.5 wins (-112 via FanDuel)                  

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⬆️ Atlanta Braves Over 88.5 wins

The team that will have the greatest positive swing in terms of wins will, of course, be the Braves. They can't possibly have worse injury luck than they did last season, and the amount of talent on this roster is just absurd. When healthy, I think this is one of the three best teams in baseball. (Note: It's entirely possible Spencer Schwellenbach will miss the entirety of the season, as he's already on the 60-day IL. Maybe they can have worse injury luck? I still like the Over.)

✅ Prediction: Over 88.5 wins (-102 via FanDuel)            

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⬇️ Washington Nationals Under 65.5 wins

Oh boy, the Nationals. The Nationals are lucky the Colorado Rockies exist, or they'd easily be the worst team in baseball. Washington finished with a minus-212 run differential last year, traded MacKenzie Gore, and could move CJ Abrams during the season. This team will be lucky to win 56 games, let alone 66.

✅ Prediction: Under 65.5 wins (-120 via FanDuel)                    

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⚾ NL Central win totals

⬇️ Milwaukee Brewers Under 84.5 wins

I know, this would be quite the falloff for the team that led baseball with 97 wins last year. I just don't think the Brewers are very good. I wouldn't say they're a bad team, but 81 or 82 wins feels like the most likely result.

✅ Prediction: Under 84.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)                      

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⬆️ Chicago Cubs Over 88.5 wins

The Cubs are one of my early World Series bets. I think they've shown they're getting aggressive with this current competitive window, and I can see them making some trades this season to further improve.

✅ Prediction: Over 88.5 wins (-118 via FanDuel)                        

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⬇️ Cincinnati Reds Under 82.5 wins

The Reds finished with 83 wins last year and should finish right around that mark again. This was one of the more difficult ones to pick, and I'd be totally fine if someone wanted to take the Over at FanDuel's +100 odds. I would just prefer to fade a team when I'm not especially confident it got better after going Over on the hook the previous season.

✅ Prediction: Under 82.5 wins (-124 via FanDuel)                          

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⬆️ St. Louis Cardinals Over 69.5 wins

Sure, the Cardinals aren't especially good, but there's no way their win total should be set at one game lower than the Angels'. St. Louis features a young and interesting offensive core and an intriguing enough rotation that I'll buy them to finish with 70 or 71 wins, especially at plus-money odds.

✅ Prediction: Over 69.5 wins (+102 via FanDuel)                            

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⬆️ Pittsburgh Pirates Over 77.5 wins

The Pirates have done an admirable job of adding to the lineup this offseason, and I think it may be just good enough to get them into 80-win territory. I think Pittsburgh will be much more competitive than its 2025 record of 71-91, and it should turn some heads in a lackluster NL Central.

✅ Prediction: Over 77.5 wins (-122 via FanDuel)                              

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⚾ NL West win totals

⬇️ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 103.5 wins

I know, the Dodgers are absurd. But so is a win total of 104. This is just too big for any team. The Dodgers know all they need to do is make it to the playoffs, so they won't kill themselves to win 104 games in the regular season.

✅ Prediction: Under 103.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)                                

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⬆️ San Diego Padres Over 84.5 wins

I have a real love-hate relationship with the Padres. I seem to love and back them every year, and yet their fans hate me online. I think San Diego once again finishes right around 85 or 86 wins this year, clearing this total in the process.

✅ Prediction: Over 84.5 wins (-102 via FanDuel)                                  

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⬇️ San Francisco Giants Under 81.5 wins

The Giants are so blah. They finished with a .500 record last year, and I fully expect them to do the same this season. They are the absolute epitome of an 81-81 ballclub, which means any serious injuries would drop them way below this total.

✅ Prediction: Under 81.5 wins (-122 via FanDuel)                                  

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⬇️ Arizona Diamondbacks Under 79.5 wins

Zac Gallen is back with the Diamondbacks, but they still look like a team poised to finish with 77 to 79 wins. This total is probably set pretty perfectly, but I'm more pessimistic about Arizona, so I'll take the Under.

✅ Prediction: Under 79.5 wins (-122 via FanDuel)                                  

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⬆️ Colorado Rockies Over 54.5 wins

And finally, we come to the absolute worst team in the baseball. A 43-119 record and minus-424 run differential doesn't even properly illustrate how bad the Rockies were in 2025. However, this total is just too low. Maybe the Rockies win only 40-something games again this season, but I have to take the Over on a total in the low 50s.

✅ Prediction: Over 54.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)                                  

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📜 MLB standings & records 2025

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🏟️ MLB betting odds pages

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