⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Tuesday, April 7
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Tuesday (April 7)
We've won four of our last five, and we're here to do it again across a heavy, 15-game schedule on this fine Tuesday. We're targeting the Guardians vs. Royals and Padres vs. Pirates to get us six simple outs to kick off the week. Let's stay hot and build our bankroll today, shall we?
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: April 7
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Royals vs. Guardians NRFI (-165) | 1u β .60u | Royals own a .203 xBA vs. Williams |
| Padres vs. Pirates NRFI (-175) | 1u -> .57u | Padres strike out at a 33% clip vs. Skenes |
Total wagered: 2 unit | Max profit: 1.17 units
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π° Best NRFI bets today for Tuesday
Royals vs. Guardians NRFI (-165) - 1:10 p.m. ET
- Noah Cameron (1.80 ERA) vs. Gavin Williams (2.25 ERA)
- NRFI records: Royals (3-7) vs. Guardians (2-9)
Noah Cameron has owned the Guardians in his career outside of Jose Ramirez, so if he can keep him in the ballpark, I have all the confidence in the world that he'll get us three outs. Leadoff hitter Steven Kwan is just 1-for-6 against him, while rookie sensation Chase DeLauter hasn't had an at-bat against him yet. On the other side, the Royals own just a .203 xBA across 110 plate appearances, which is the type of sample size we love to see.
Padres vs. Pirates NRFI (-175) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Nick Pivetta (6.75 ERA) vs. Paul Skenes (9.53 ERA)
- NRFI records: Padres (3-7) vs. Pirates (4-6)
We've got a case of two aces on the bump in the Padres and Pirates, giving me enough confidence to drop a full unit on six simple outs here. While Skenes is searching for a bounce-back outing, it's Pivetta that owns the sample size that makes this bet worth it. Over 101 plate appearances, the Pirates are hitting just .209 and striking out at a 30% clip. On the other side, the Padres are mostly seeing Skenes for the first time - it might take one turn through the lineup to get used to what he brings to the table.
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-5 | +0.91 units β |
| NRFI picks | 5-5 | +0.91 units β |
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 7)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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