⚾ Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Tuesday, April 7

Two ace starters and two almost untouchable splitters, and one offense in a pit of despair. That math could lead to a vintage pitcher's duel when the second Fall Classic rematch takes place tonight at Rogers Centre, beginning at 7:07 p.m. ET (TBS).

My Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prediction as part of our MLB picks looks to capitalize while eyeing an evening filled with baffled hitters in this Kevin Gausman vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto battle, with Toronto's top-line starter in peak form to begin the new season.

The Dodgers enter as the -149 favorites to extend Toronto's five-game losing streak.

⚾ Dodgers vs. Blue Jays picks & odds today

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.75 units | Max profit: 2.67 units

🏆 Who will win Dodgers vs. Blue Jays?

It's difficult to believe the Blue Jays' offense will remain quite this putrid for much longer. Still, it's tough to back them given both their repeated face planting and widespread injuries. The Dodgers will win because an offense that's averaging the second-most runs per game leaguewide does just enough against Gausman, and then picks apart the Blue Jays' overworked bullpen.

Score prediction: Dodgers 4, Blue Jays 2

💰 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prediction & best bet

Under 7.5 (-102)

We'll dive deeper into Gausman and his contributions below. Both the Blue Jays stalwart and Yoshinobu Yamamoto feature daunting splitters. Gausman's version will certainly do its part to keep the score low, but so will Yamamoto's offering, which contributed to his sky-high groundball rate last year of 53.7%.

That's not what the Blue Jays need to see given their injured and inept offense. The Jays are averaging a laughable two runs per contest during their five-game losing streak. Positive regression will surely come, but not with the likes of George Springer (.586 OPS) and Kazuma Okamoto (41.9% strikeout rate) struggling mightily.

🔥 Best Dodgers vs. Blue Jays player prop bet

Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 strikeouts (-156)

Gausman has been brilliant through two starts while registering 21 strikeouts across 12 innings. Sure, the Dodgers don't strike out much while sitting fifth-best in that area. But even when it's not creating whiffs, Gausman's lethal splitter has been generating plenty of feeble contact.

The opposition is batting just .083 against that pitch so far and slugging .237, and Gausman's groundball rate rests at an astronomical 57.9%.

His splitter and fastball work in tandem to create nearly unparalleled deception, with opponents producing an expected slugging of just .226 against his four-seamer. Gausman's success speaks to the quality of those two pitches, as he's throwing his third pitch (a slider) just 9% of the time.

💣 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays home run prediction

Daulton Varsho to hit a home run (+575)

Daulton Varsho is among the stumbling Blue Jays hitters while slugging just .250. But there's some encouraging under-the-hood metrics that indicate a turn in the right direction could be coming soon.

The most notable is tied to his uppercut swing path, as Varsho is hitting the launch-angle sweet spot 44% of the time, which ranks in the 89th percentile leaguewide, according to Baseball Savant.

Hitting laser beams consistently isn't his game, largely due to that swing path. But his launch angle, along with an expected batting average of .296 that's far higher than his actual one of .188, provide slump-busting fuel.

🚀 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays same-game parlay

The run suppression script is clear here, and it's a path we'll follow while riding more so with Gausman. He's been pristine, whereas despite his overall brilliance, Yamamoto has endured a few uncharacteristic speed bumps early while giving up two home runs already.

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💡 How I'm betting Dodgers vs. Blue Jays: MLB strategy

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I'm bullish on Gausman's strikeout total, which is why I'll risk 1.5 units. His feel for the splitter right now is unmatched, and he's especially excelled against lefties while limiting them to a .158 OPS.

The combination of Gausman and Yamamoto make me feel nearly as good about this game staying Under the total, too. Gausman gave up six runs across 12 2/3 innings against these Dodgers during the World Series last fall, and Yamamoto surrendered just two earned runs over a remarkable 17 2/3 innings.

📊 Live Dodgers vs. Blue Jays odds

A significant slant in the action toward the Dodgers is unsurprising given the wildly opposite trajectories of these two teams right now, with Los Angeles currently getting 86% of the moneyline bets and 80% to cover the -1.5 run line through DraftKings.

There's also a sizable majority of bets on the Over, with that side getting 66%, which is somewhat eyebrow-raising given the effectiveness of the two starting pitchers, and especially Gausman.

Elsewhere with Gausman, BetMGM was among the last of the best MLB betting sites offering 5.5 on his strikeout total, with its -181 price much better than FanDuel at -205.

There had also been a shift with the game total. DraftKings stood alone at 8 for a while until finally joining the others at 7.5 come mid-afternoon.

📈 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays betting trends

🚑 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays injuries

📺 How to watch Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

• Date: Tuesday, April 7
• First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
• Ballpark: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
• TV: TBS
• Streaming: MLB.TV
• Dodgers starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-1, 3.00 ERA)
• Blue Jays starter: Kevin Gausman (0-0, 0.75 ERA)