🏀 NBA Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Wednesday, April 29
📡 SBR Edge: LeBron Plays Pass-First Point Guard with Reaves Back
My NBA player props today feature LeBron James Over 7.5 assists (-139), as he averaged 10.2 assists per game when playing with Austin Reaves and without Luka Doncic in the regular season. My next NBA best bet is James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-115). He has attempted 8+ three-pointers in five of his last seven meetings with the Raptors. I wrap up my top picks with Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+140), as he has gone over this number in six of his last eight matchups against the Magic.
π Best NBA player props today: April 29
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James Over 7.5 assists | -139 via Caesars | 1.39u -> 1u | Averaged 10.2 assists per game w/ Reaves and w/o Doncic in regular season |
| James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -115 via BetMGM | 1.15u -> 1u | Has 8+ 3PA in 5 of last 7 games vs. TOR |
| Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made | +140 via BetRivers | 0.71u -> 1u | Has gone Over in 6 of last 8 matchups vs. ORL |
Total wagered: 3.25 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet today
The Lakers have the seventh-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
LeBron James Over 7.5 assists (-139) vs. Rockets
I love betting opportunities like we have in L.A. today, as Reaves is coming back from an oblique injury.
James steps up as a scorer and a passer when Doncic is out but leans more into being a distributor when Reaves is on the floor. James averaged 10.2 assists in six games with Reaves and without Doncic in the regular season.
Caesars lists James Over 7.5 assists at -139, but this bet is good up to -165 on the best sports betting sites. Meanwhile, our Shane Thurston features Unders on two Rockets players in his Rockets vs. Lakers player props.
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-115) vs. Raptors
I've been betting Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers in every game this series, and it has cashed in three of four.
We have a great spot today, as he's coming off one of his worst playoff performances and will be motivated to bounce back.
What does a better version of Harden look like today? More careful with the ball, but also more aggressive from deep. He has attempted eight-plus 3-pointers in five of his last seven meetings with Toronto.
Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers is -115 at BetMGM, but I would play this up to -135 on the best NBA betting sites.
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+140) vs. Magic
Robinson has gone over this line in three of four games in this series, and I like him in a bounce-back spot today after making just 1 of 6 from deep in Game 4.
Robinson has made three-plus triples in six of his last eight meetings with Orlando, and with Detroit in an elimination game, look for him to be aggressive. His Over 2.5 three-pointers is +140 at BetRivers, but I'd be comfortable playing this up to +120 on the best sports betting apps.
Our Shane Thurston features two Unders for this matchup in his Magic vs. Pistons player props.
π Best NBA parlay picks today
While playing parlays, you want to feel confident directionally in the bets, but another great way to see if you're on the right side is to compare odds across sportsbooks.
Bet365 offers the two-leg parlay at +525, while FanDuel - which takes bigger bets - offers just +395. Harden making four or more 3-pointers is unlikely, but if the Raptors can keep this matchup close, he'll have more opportunities to shoot later in the game.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Raptors +9
- James Harden 4+ three-pointers made
Best odds: +525 via bet365 (0.29u -> 1.5u)
π‘ More NBA expert picks today
- NBA player props today
- Magic vs. Pistons player props
- NBA play of the day: Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers player props
- Rockets vs. Lakers player props
- Will Austin Reaves play tonight?
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 147.5-168-4.5 | -13.28 units β | -4.1% β |
| Player props | 131-118-4 | -11 units β | -3.7% β |
| Parlays | 12.5-45-0.5 | -1.39 units β | -7.8% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39.5-41-0.5 | +4.06 units β | 6.7% β |
| Player props | 32-19 | +8.53 units β | 17.8% β |
| Parlays | 4.5-17-0.5 | -2.08 units β | -33.5% β |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units β | -52.5% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props today
My betting strategy changes as series progress, and we have three unique angles today. Orlando and Detroit play first, and while the Magic have exceeded expectations, the Pistons are still the better team, so I will continue to follow my pre-series projections for these players.
I share a similar sentiment in RaptorsβCavaliers; however, I have upgraded Toronto after back-to-back victories. The RocketsβLakers series has been the biggest surprise to me, and as a lifelong Lakers fan, Iβm not mad at it. Today is such a bad spot for Houston that I can only look toward Lakers Overs (or Rockets Unders).
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