🏀 Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Player Props Today: Expert Picks
📡 SBR Intel: Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Player Props Today
My Cavaliers vs. Mavericks player props today feature James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-156). The 11-time All-Star is still launching from deep despite playing alongside an elite scorer. I wrap up my NBA best bets with Naji Marshall Under 13.5 points. Marshall is falling lower on the depth chart, and his scoring has taken a hit.
🏀 Best Cavaliers vs. Mavericks player props today: NBA picks for March 13
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -156 via FanDuel | 1.56u -> 1u | Has gone Over in 6 of last 7 with Mitchell |
| Naji Marshall Under 13.5 points | -114 via DraftKings | 1.14u -> 1u | Averaging just 24.8 minutes over last 6 games |
Total wagered: 2.7 units | Max profit: 2 units
💰 Best Cavaliers vs. Mavericks prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-156)
We cashed this bet against the Orlando Magic on Wednesday, and the line has ballooned, but I still believe there's value. While Harden is shooting fewer 3-pointers as a member of the Cavaliers (6.8 with Cleveland compared to 8.8 with LA), he has still made three or more triples in six of his last seven games playing alongside Mitchell.
Harden has attempted seven or more 3-pointers in each of his five games in March, making them at a 41.5% clip. FanDuel lists his Over at -156, but this bet is good up to -185 at the best sports betting sites.
📊 James Harden prop trends
The Cavaliers have the fifth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Mavericks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 points | -106 via FanDuel | 3-2 ✅ | 3-2 ✅ |
| Over 5.5 rebounds | +122 via FanDuel | 1-4 ❌ | 4-1 ✅ |
| Over 8.5 assists | +100 via BetMGM | 1-4 ❌ | 3-2 ✅ |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -156 via FanDuel | 4-1 ✅ | 1-4 ❌ |
While Harden's recent performances are useful for handicapping his player props tonight, I would put next to no stock in his history against the Mavericks.
Dallas' roster has changed since last season, and Harden was on the Clippers the last five times he faced the Mavericks.
🔥 More Cavaliers vs. Mavericks prop picks
Dallas Mavericks forward Cooper Flagg has the second-shortest odds to win Rookie of the Year.
Naji Marshall Under 13.5 points (-114)
I bet Marshall to go over his points several times in February, but his role on this team has been diminished. With Khris Middleton taking more shots and P.J. Washington assuming a larger role in the offense, Marshall is averaging only 24.8 minutes over his last six games.
Cleveland should also play better defensively tonight, as the Cavaliers have allowed 102 or fewer points in each of their last two games after a loss. Marshall Under 13.5 points is -114 at DraftKings, but I would still play it at the best NBA betting sites up to -130.
🏀 NBA expert picks tonight
Jalen Brunson, Anthony Edwards, and Cade Cunningham are featured in Dustin Saracini's NBA player props tonight.
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 53-53-3 | -2.26 units ❌ | -1.8% ❌ |
| Player props | 52-45-3 | -0.91 units ❌ | -0.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-8 | -1.34 units ❌ | -49.68% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
I'm allocating 2.7 units for this game because, while I'm confident directionally in these plays, the lines aren't priced too far from where I'd set them. This is the typical amount I'd bet on two player props, though I'd consider risking up to 2.5 units on a bet if I believed there were a bigger edge.
I'm expecting a rout tonight, and while you usually don't want to bet Overs on player props in a blowout, I'm confident Harden can make three or more triples before the fourth quarter. He cashed this prop early in the third on Wednesday.
🚑 Cavaliers vs. Mavericks injuries
📺 How to watch Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
- Date: Friday, March 13
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
- TV: Streaming on Prime Video
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