🏀 Thunder vs. Knicks Player Props Tonight: KAT Picks & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Brunson go head-to-head tonight as two of the NBAβs top-five teams meet in New York. The Oklahoma City Thunder take on the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden, with tipoff set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN).
The Thunder are a 4-point betting favorite, with both teams playing the second night of a back-to-back. The Thunder beat the Bulls in Chicago on Tuesday, while the Knicks topped the Raptors in Toronto. My Thunder vs. Knicks player props tonight highlight Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns, Knicks guard Mikal Bridges, and Thunder guard Cason Wallace, with Townsβ assists as the top pick.
π Best Thunder vs. Knicks player props tonight: NBA picks for March 4
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns, C, Knicks | Under 2.5 assists (-140) | 1.4u -> 1u | ββββ |
| Cason Wallace, G, Thunder | Over 9.5 points (+100) | 1u -> 1u | ββββ |
| Mikal Bridges, G, Knicks | Under 13.5 points (-108) | 0.54u -> 0.5u | βββ |
Total wagered: 2.94 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
π° Best Thunder vs. Knicks prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 2.5 assists (-140)
Towns has been more selfish coming out of the All-Star break, recording two or fewer assists in five of seven games in that span.
He has cashed this prop in five of his last six games, and while he recorded six assists against the Raptors in Toronto, he had dished out a total of just two assists in his two previous games entering Tuesday. BetMGM has Towns Under 2.5 assists at -140, but I would still play it at any of the best sports betting sites up to -155.
π₯ More Thunder vs. Knicks prop picks
The Thunder are the betting favorite to win the NBA Finals.
Cason Wallace Over 9.5 points (+100)
Wallace scored 17 points against the Bulls on Tuesday and has cashed this prop in five of his last six games.
While most of those games were without Gilgeous-Alexander in the lineup, I don't expect Gilgeous-Alexander to be very productive tonight as he deals with an abdominal strain. A semi-injured Gilgeous-Alexander means more touches for Wallace. BetMGM lists Wallace Over 9.5 points at even money, but this bet is good up to -110.
Mikal Bridges Under 13.5 points (-108)
Bridges has struggled out of the All-Star break, scoring 11 or fewer points in five of seven games during that stretch.
He's coming off an 11-point performance against the Raptors on Tuesday, when he attempted just seven shots from the field, including two from beyond the arc. This offense is pretty much just Jalen Brunson and Towns at this point. Bridges Under 13.5 points is -108 at FanDuel, but I would still play it up to -115 at any of the best NBA betting sites.
Our Shane Thurston features more picks worth tailing in his NBA player props tonight.
π Mikal Bridges prop trends
Looking for a moneyline pick? LJ Blut is backing a team at even money with his NBA play of the day.
| Bet | Best odds | Last 10 games | Last 10 vs. Thunder |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 points | -113 via DraftKings | 5-5 β | 7-3 β |
| Over 3.5 rebounds | +116 via FanDuel | 6-4 β | 6-4 β |
| Over 3.5 assists | +134 via DraftKings | 5-5 β | 2-8 β |
| Over 1.5 three-pointers made | -128 via FanDuel | 3-7 β | 4-6 β |
π‘ How I'm betting Thunder vs. Knicks
My bankroll strategy is to treat 1 unit as 1% of the money I have set aside solely for sports betting. Iβve allocated 2.94 units for this game, which is slightly less than I would usually bet on three player props.
The reason for the lower risk is that Bridges' points prop isnβt far from where I would price it, though I still like the bet directionally. I expect this to be a close, low-scoring game tonight, with both teams a little gassed on the second night of a back-to-back.
π Thunder vs. Knicks injuries
πΊ How to watch Thunder vs. Knicks
- Date: Wednesday, March 4
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden (New York)
- TV: ESPN
π My win/loss record: Updated March 4
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parlays | 1-8 | -1.34 units β | -49.68% β |
| Player props | 31-24-3 | +4.85 units β | 6.9% β |
| Overall | 32-32-3 | +3.5 units β | 4.8% β |
ποΈ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | Pacers | Under 15.5 points | +100 |
| Keyonte George | Jazz | Over 20.5 points | -135 |
| Robert Williams III | Trail Blazers | Under 6.5 rebounds | +115 |
| Brandon Miller | Hornets | Over 19.5 points | -110 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Bucks | Under 10.5 rebounds | -145 |
It makes sense that Andrew Nembhard going Under his points prop would be a popular bet, as he is potentially returning from multiple injuries tonight, and thereβs a strong chance his minutes will be limited.
Keyonte George is having a breakout season in his third year, so itβs no surprise that the Over on his points prop is drawing heavy action. He scored 36 points against the Denver Nuggets on Monday and attempted 22 shots.
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