🏀 South Carolina vs. UConn Prediction: Today's Women's March Madness Final Four Picks

My South Carolina vs. UConn prediction breaks down the best bets, player props, and same-game parlay I'm betting for women's March Madness Final Four.
UConn Huskies forward Sarah Strong (21) rebounds as we break down our South Carolina vs. UConn prediction.
Pictured: UConn Huskies forward Sarah Strong (21) rebounds as we break down our South Carolina vs. UConn prediction. Photo by Chris Jones-Imagn Images
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The Women’s NCAA Tournament Final Four tips off tonight with UConn Huskies women's basketball facing South Carolina Gamecocks women's basketball for a berth in the championship game. UConn brings an unblemished 38-0 record into this showdown, with tipoff set for 7 p.m. ET at the Footprint Center, airing live on ESPN.

The women's March Madness odds have the Huskies as a 6.5-point betting favorite, which is about as much of a challenge as they've faced all season. But despite the Gamecocks being a No. 1 seed, my South Carolina vs. UConn prediction is banking on another comfortable victory for the defending champs.


πŸ€ South Carolina vs. UConn picks & odds: Women's March Madness Final Four

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Pick Best odds Units Confidence
UConn double result -145 via Caesars 1.45u -> 1u ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
UConn -6.5 -110 via bet365 1u -> 0.91 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Sarah Strong Over 17.5 points -110 via FanDuel 0.5u -> 0.45u ⭐⭐⭐

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.36 units

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πŸ† Who will win South Carolina vs. UConn tonight?

I predict the UConn Huskies to keep their perfect season alive, defeating South Carolina by 10 in their Final Four matchup on Friday. UConn has won 54 consecutive games, including a 38-0 record this year. There is no reason to project an upset.

Score prediction: UConn 77, South Carolina 63


πŸ’° South Carolina vs. UConn prediction & best bet tonight

UConn double result (-145)

Not only have the Huskies won 54 straight contests, but only one game has been decided by single digits over that span. As a result, I think UConn's spread (-6.5) is worth a full unit as a four-star play.

But for my five-star recommendation, I'm taking advantage of a rare, favorable price tag on UConn's double result. Caesars is offering -145 odds on the Huskies to lead at halftime and win the game. This same ticket costs -160 at DraftKings.

Of its 38 wins this year, UConn has led at halftime in 35 of them. It has only trailed once at the break. The Huskies have outscored their opponent by a total of 102 points in the first half of this NCAA Tournament.

They mean business this March, which is why I'm backing them to control this game from start to finish. 

🏀 Texas vs. UCLA

So, who will earn the right to face UConn in the national championship game? Our Texas vs. UCLA prediction breaks down the second Final Four game of the night.


πŸ”₯ Best South Carolina vs. UConn player prop bet

Sarah Strong Over 17.5 points (-110)

Sarah Strong, who was just named the Naismith Player of the Year entering this weekend, is averaging 18.6 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 3.9 assists this season. But what's most impressive is how efficient she has been this year.

Due to UConn's dominance, Strong has only played 28 or more minutes in 14 games. In those 14 contests, Strong has cleared this scoring line a dozen times. She's scored 20-plus points in 10 of those outings.

Basically, if this game is close enough for Strong to log fourth-quarter minutes, I expect her to clear this total.


πŸš€ South Carolina vs. UConn same-game parlay

FanDuel doesn't allow us to parlay UConn's double result or any first-half markets, so I've opted for a two-leg SGP between UConn's spread and Strong's scoring line. This South Carolina vs. UConn parlay offers +195 odds, but it's somewhat correlated to a convincing performance by the Huskies.

💵 South Carolina vs. UConn SGP picks

  • UConn -6.5
  • Sarah Strong Over 17.5 points

Best odds: +195 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.195u)


πŸ€‘ South Carolina vs. Uconn betting splits

Here's my analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM):

Bet type % of bets πŸŽŸοΈ % of handle πŸ’°
South Carolina ML (+260) 59% 22%
Uconn ML (-325) 41% 78%
South Carolina +7.5 31% 29%
Uconn -7.5 69% 71%
Over 135.5 53% 22%
Under 135.5 47% 78%

The public is all over Uconn in this spot, and also all over the Under in this affair. It is hard to against this Uconn team with how well they have performed all year, so I understand why the public would be backing them. -LJ Blut


πŸ’΅ My betting record for college basketball

All college basketball picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 17.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 31-38 +0.01 units βœ… 0% βœ…
Game picks (ML) 5-3 +2.12 units βœ… 29.3% βœ…
Player props 12-9 -0.32 units ❌ -1.9% ❌
Parlays 2-12 -0.49 units ❌ -25.8% ❌

πŸ’‘ How I'm betting South Carolina vs. UConn: Women's March Madness 

Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions for March Madness.

UConn will be tested this weekend, but I don't think the market fully appreciates the talent gap between these two teams. The Huskies have been the most dominant team in the sport all year, and they should ultimately be awarded with another title.

I'm comfortable laying the points with the much better team, but there is chance that this ticket is decided by some free throws at the end. If you don't want to sweat that out, my favorite play of the tourney is on UConn's double result in this game.


πŸ“Š Live South Carolina vs. UConn odds: Women's March Madness Final Four

UConn is a 6.5-point favorite as of this writing, with a total of 136.5. I'm suspecting some movement in UConn's favor, as 78% of bets at DraftKings are on the Huskies to cover this number. The total could also climb before tipoff when more bets come in on gameday.


πŸ“Ί How to watch South Carolina vs. UConn: Women's March Madness Final Four

  • Date: Friday, April 3
  • Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)
  • TV: ESPN
  • Streaming: ESPN App