🏒 Calder Trophy Odds 2026: Schaefer the Rookie of the Year Shoo-in

Excluding a catastrophic occurrence or a miracle for one of the other rookies, Matthew Schaefer looks set to win the Calder Trophy.
Matthew Schaefer in action as we provide the Calder Trophy odds and favorites.
Pictured: Matthew Schaefer in action as we provide the Calder Trophy odds and favorites. Photo by Kiyoshi Mio via Imagn Images
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Matthew Schaefer is running away with the rookie of the year race, and his win probability via the Calder Trophy odds has reached an astonishing 97.6%. 

The New York Islanders' teenager has been a revelation in the NHL, setting countless records, including most goals by an 18-year-old defenseman and becoming the first rookie defenseman to score 20 goals. With nobody else in sight, Schaefer will win the Calder Trophy barring something earth-shattering. At +4500, the Anaheim Ducks' Beckett Sennecke has overtaken the Montreal Canadiens Ivan Demidov for second on the leaderboard. 


🏆 Calder Trophy odds 2026

The Calder Trophy odds are updated in real time. 

📊 Calder Trophy betting insights 

The below betting insights are provided by BetMGM, one of the best sports betting sites

  • Highest ticket%: Ivan Demidov 16.1%
  • Highest handle%: Matthew Schaefer 30.8%
  • Biggest Liabilities: Matthew Schaefer

🔢 Calder Trophy opening odds

Odds via BetMGM

  • Ivan Demidov: +190
  • Alexander Nikishin: +900
  • Zayne Parekh: +1200
  • Ryan Leonard : +1200
  • Jimmy Snuggerud: +1400
  • Zeev Buium: +2000
  • Yaroslav Askarov: +2000
  • Michael Misa: +2200
  • Ville Koivunen: +2500
  • Gabriel Perreault : +2500
  • Bradly Nadeau: +2500
  • Matthew Savoie: +3000
  • Sam Dickinson: +5000
  • Rutger McGroarty: +5000
  • Jonathan Lekkerimaki: +5000
  • Easton Cowan: +5000
  • Axel Sandin-Pellikka: +5000

📜 Calder Trophy odds history

Year Player Position Team Preseason Odds
2024-25 Lane Hutson D Montreal Canadiens  +1000
2023-24 Connor Bedard C Chicago Blackhawks -135
2022-23 Matty Beniers C Seattle Kraken +400
2021-22 Moritz Seider D Detroit Red Wings +1200
2020-21 Kirill Kaprizov LW Minnesota Wild +400
2019-20 Cale Makar D Colorado Avalanche +400
2018-19 Elias Pettersson C Vancouver Canucks +240
2017-18 Mathew Barzal C New York Islanders +1800
2016-17 Auston Matthews C Toronto Maple Leafs -130
2015-16 Artemi Panarin LW Chicago Blackhawks +2200
2014-15 Aaron Ekblad D Florida Panthers +700
2013-14 Nathan MacKinnon C Colorado Avalanche N/A

❓ Calder Trophy FAQ

Who is the Calder Trophy odds favorite? 

Matthew Schaefer is the -850 betting favorite. Those odds represent a 89.47% implied probability.

Who won last year's Calder Trophy?

The Montreal Canadiens' Lane Hutson won last year's Calder Trophy after closing as the prohibitive -1600 favorite. His Calder Trophy odds represented an implied win probability of 94.12%, according to our odds calculator

When will the Calder Trophy be decided?

Votes from the Professional Hockey Writers' Association must be filed before the Stanley Cup Playoffs begin. Last year's Calder Trophy was announced on June 11. 

How many No. 1 draft picks have won the Calder Trophy?

Twelve No. 1 draft picks have won the Calder Trophy, including Connor Bedard, Auston Matthews, Mario Lemieux, Nathan MacKinnon, Patrick Kane, Alexander Ovechkin, Aaron Ekblad, Gilbert Perreault, Denis Potvin, Dale Hawerchuk, Bobby Smith, and Bryan Berard. 

When did a goaltender last win the Calder Trophy?

Steve Mason was the last goaltender to win the Calder Trophy. He secured the honor with the Columbus Blue Jackets in 2008-09. 

How many goaltenders have won the Calder Trophy?

Sixteen goaltenders have won the Calder Trophy but only three since 2000 (Mason, Andrew Raycroft, Evgeni Nabokov). 


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