Capitals vs. Bruins Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks Today (March 7)
The Washington Capitals, four points behind the Boston Bruins for the final wild-card spot, will feel this afternoon's game at TD Garden in Boston (12:30 p.m. ET, ABC) is a must-win.
My Capitals vs. Bruins prediction, however, backs Boston to continue its superb run at home. The Bruins are the -120 moneyline betting favorite, and my analysis below also includes a David Pastrnak player prop, as the Bruins' leading scorer has been successful in the previous two games against the Caps.
🏒 Capitals vs. Bruins picks & odds today: March 7
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet type | Prediction | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | Bruins ML (-120 via BetMGM) | 1u -> 0.83u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over/Under total | Under 6.5 (-138 via FanDuel) | 0.5u -> 0.36u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| David Pastrnak player prop bet | Anytime goal (+140 via DraftKings) | 0.5u -> .7u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.89 units
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💰 Capitals vs. Bruins prediction & best bet
Bruins ML (-120)
The Bruins are in a wild-card position because of their sterling home record (23-8-1), which ranks second in the league behind the Colorado Avalanche.
Boston won 11 of its previous 12 at TD Garden, with its only defeat coming against the Tampa Bay Lightning, the team with the second-shortest Stanley Cup odds. Jeremy Swayman, who has the best home save percentage (.917) of anyone with at least 20 starts, should get the nod.
The Capitals have struggled on the road, losing four of their previous five.
Score prediction: Bruins 4, Capitals 2
🔥 Best Capitals vs. Bruins player prop bet
David Pastrnak anytime goal (+140)
Pastrnak is on a 7-game goalless streak. However, he scored three in the previous two meetings with the Washington Capitals, two of which were at TD Garden the last time Spencer Carbery and Co. visited.
He had one other seven-game goalless streak this season, but he scored in the eighth game. The Caps allowed at least four goals in three of their previous four away games. He has -0.9 goals above expected, so I'm expecting some positive regression.
DraftKings offers the best price of the best sports betting sites, and I'd play the bet to +130.
📊 Live Capitals vs. Bruins odds
💡 How I'm betting Capitals vs. Bruins
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
Both teams have been inconsistent recently, so there's no discernible form advantage, but the Bruins' unbelievable play at TD Garden has me backing them to win the game with more confidence than the other two picks.
I've devoted a full unit to the moneyline play. The Over/Under has been all over the place for both teams.
However, the Bruins looked good defensively in their last two home games, and Swayman usually saves his best for home ice. Pastrnak, meanwhile, is overdue.
A goal is coming for the superstar, and because of his recent fruitful patch against the Caps, I'm banking on it coming tonight. Each unit is $10.
🚀 Capitals vs. Bruins same-game parlay
💵 Capitals vs. Bruins SGP picks
- Bruins ML (-128)
- Under 6.5 (-138)
- David Pastrnak anytime goal (+135)
Best odds: +622 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 1.2u)
📈 Capitals vs. Bruins betting trends
| Capitals | Statistic | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| 31-25-7 | W-L record | 34-22-5 |
| 32-31 | ATS record | 39-22 |
| 3-6-1 | O/U record last 10 | 6-4-0 |
| 2-2-1 | Last 5 games | 3-2-0 |
🚑 Capitals vs. Bruins injuries
📺 How to watch Capitals vs. Bruins
- Date: Saturday, March 7
- Puck drop: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: TD Garden (Boston)
- TV: ABC
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