🏒 Capitals vs. Flyers Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks Today (March 11)
A pair of inconsistent playoff hopefuls clash at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia tonight (7:30 p.m. ET, TNT) when the Philadelphia Flyers host the Washington Capitals.
The Capitals are the -120 betting favorite. I'm backing Washington in my Capitals vs. Flyers prediction despite its three successive road setbacks. I'm more confident about the total, though, as a game with six goals or fewer should be on the cards. Both offenses have struggled to find the net consistently, especially against each other.
🏒 Capitals vs. Flyers picks & odds today: March 11
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet type | Prediction | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | Capitals ML (-115 via DrafttKings) | 0.5u -> 0.44u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over/Under total | Under 6 (-105 via BetMGM) | 1u -> 0.95u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Dylan Strome player prop bet | Over 0.5 assists (+135 via bet365) | 0.5u -> 0.68u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 2.07 units
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💰 Capitals vs. Flyers prediction & best bet
Under 6 (-105)
Eight of the previous 10 Flyers' contests had six or fewer goals, and the same can be said for the Flyers. They played each other twice in that sample, with both games featuring six goals or fewer.
The Caps scored more than three goals once in the last five games, which came against the lowly Calgary Flames.
The Flyers, meanwhile, scored four goals or more once in their previous seven games, and they have the sixth-worst home offensive record in the league, mustering 2.63 goals per game.
Score prediction: Capitals 3, Flyers 2
💡 Canadiens vs. Senators prediction
Want to get your Canadian rivalry fix? My Canadiens vs. Senators prediction offers three picks, including an anytime goal-scorer prop.
🔥 Best Capitals vs. Flyers player prop bet
Dylan Strome Over 0.5 assists (+135)
Strome hasn't reached the heights of last season, with just 34 helpers in 63 games. However, he's been better of late, registering three assists in the previous four games.
He has six assists in the last nine meetings with the Flyers, but didn't notch one in the last three. Not only is he overdue against the Flyers, but he notched two helpers in his last three visits to Xfinity Mobile Arena.
bet365 offers the best price of the best sports betting sites, and I'd play the bet to +130.
📊 Live Capitals vs. Flyers odds
🚀 Capitals vs. Flyers same-game parlay
💵 Capitals vs. Flyers SGP picks
- Capitals ML (-120)
- Under 6 (-108)
- Dylan Strome Over 0.5 assists (+130)
Best odds: +712 via FanDuel (.1u -> 0.71u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 73-77-2 | +12.9 units ✅ |
| Player props (March) | 14-27 | -9.8 units ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Capitals vs. Flyers
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
It's not a matchup I feel extremely confident about. Neither team has found consistency, and they have split recent head-to-heads. The Caps have been poor on the road, with three straight losses, and the Flyers lost back-to-back games at home.
That's why I've featured the total and Under 6 goals. Struggling offenses, combined with competent defenses and a critical two points on the line, scream Under.
With how lacklustre both offenses have been, I'm only investing 0.5 units on Strome's player prop.
📈 Capitals vs. Flyers betting trends
| Capitals | Statistic | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| 32-26-7 | W-L record | 29-23-11 |
| 33-32-0 | ATS record | 37-26-0 |
| 3-7 | O/U record last 10 | 2-8 |
| 2-3-0 | Last 5 games | 3-2-0 |
🚑 Capitals vs. Flyers injuries
📺 How to watch Capitals vs. Flyers
- Date: Wednesday, March 11
- Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia)
- TV: TNT
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