🏒 Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks Today (April 6)
The best teams in the Atlantic Division go head-to-head in tonight's matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres. Each opponent has clinched a playoff berth, while the Sabres find themselves two points behind the Lightning for the division lead. Tonight's puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network) at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, N.Y.
The Lightning are a -115 betting favorite, while the total is set at 6.5. My Lightning vs. Sabres prediction targets Buffalo as a home underdog, plus a score prediction at +3500 odds. Then, we'll finish with a player prop for Sabres defenseman Rasmus Dahlin.
🏒 Lightning vs. Sabres picks & odds today: April 6
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| Bet type | Units | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Sabres ML (+100 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 1u | Sabres are 2-1 SU against the Lightning. A regulation win ties the Atlantic Division lead, adding incentive for the home underdogs. |
| Under 6.5 (-108 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.92u | Under 6.5 is 4-1 in Lightning's last five matchups. 2-2 in Sabres' past four games. |
| Rasmus Dahlin Over 0.5 points (-154 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 0.64u | 1+ points in three of last five starts. 1+ assists in 12 of previous 13 matchups against Lightning. |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.56 units
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💰 Lightning vs. Sabres prediction & best bet
The Sabres have the eighth-shortest odds to win the Stanley Cup.
Sabres ML (+100)
Buffalo still has plenty to play for in the Atlantic Division, sitting just 2 points behind the Lightning, with both teams clinching a playoff berth. The Sabres have a chance to take the outright division lead with a regulation win at KeyBank Center tonight.
It's been a high-scoring affair in all three previous matchups this season. The Sabres are 2-1 SU, recently beating the Lightning 8-7 on home ice.
Tampa Bay is trending up right now, winning four of its last five games played. Buffalo has dropped back-to-back road games against the Senators and Capitals.
I expect the Sabres to come out focused and regain momentum back home against a top-tier opponent like the Lightning. Let's bet on Buffalo to dominate tonight's game and jump the Lightning for the division lead.
Score prediction: Sabres 5, Lightning 1 (+3500 via FanDuel)
🔥 Best Lightning vs. Sabres player prop bet
Our Gary Pearson features more picks worth tailing in his NHL player props tonight.
Rasmus Dahlin Over 0.5 points (-154)
Dahlin is one of the key veterans leading the Sabres out of a playoff drought this season. He's the second leading point scorer on Buffalo's roster with 69 total points, including 18 goals, lighting the lamp twice in his past four starts.
Skating over 24 minutes ATOI, including the Sabres' top defensive line and power play unit, creates plenty of scoring chances for Dahlin to contribute. He's recorded at least one assist in 12 of Buffalo's previous 13 matchups against Tampa Bay.
Andrei Vasilevskiy has had vulnerable moments in net for the Lightning this season, despite boasting a 2.31 GAA and being a former Vezina Trophy winner. Get the best price for Rasmus Dahlin's over 0.5 points prop bet at -154 odds on DraftKings.
🚨 Nikita Kucherov player props
Our senior analyst, Dustin Saracini, features Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel in his NHL anytime goal scorer predictions tonight.
📊 Live Lightning vs. Sabres odds
There has been minimal line movement on the moneyline and goal total betting markets for tonight's game between the Lightning and Sabres. As the opening puck drop gets closer, expect the Sabres to grow shorter, especially as a home underdog with a 24-10 record at KeyBank Center.
The goal total sits at 6.5 since we've got a pair of the league's top-10 scoring offenses in this matchup. This creates value on the under, especially with both teams going under this number in at least half of their past four outings.
🚀 Lightning vs. Sabres same-game parlay
There's plenty at stake between the Lightning and Sabres in Buffalo tonight. Yes, each side has secured a playoff berth, but Buffalo can jump into the No. 1 seed in the division with a regulation win.
The Sabres have won two straight games on home ice. Conversely, the Lightning have not played a road game since an overtime loss to the Flames on March 22.
Dahlin should factor into Buffalo's offensive production tonight. He's consistent enough to be my top player to back in the 1+ points betting market, which should spark the Sabres' offense into a rout of the Lightning.
💵 Lightning vs. Sabres SGP picks
- Sabres ML (+100)
- Under 6.5 (-108)
- Rasmus Dahlin Over 0.5 points (-154)
Best odds: +535 via FanDuel (0.5u -> 2.67u)
💡 How I'm betting Lightning vs. Sabres
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
Tonight's pivotal Atlantic Division showdown means we're going to place 3.5 units on four different wagers when the Sabres host the Lightning at KeyBank Center. Buffalo can take the division lead with a regulation win, while Tampa Bay has not played an away game in two weeks. Expect a relatively low-scoring win by the Sabres.
Dahlin has been the most consistent player for the Sabres' offense down the stretch. The defenseman has scored two goals in his last four starts, including a multi-point performance, so we'll lay the juice on Dahlin to go over 0.5 points at -154 odds.
This culminates in a three-leg parlay, worth a 0.5 unit stake, at +535 odds, to secure 2.67 units of profit.
📈 Lightning vs. Sabres betting trends
| Lightning | Statistic | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| 48-22-6 | W-L record | 46-23-8 |
| 38-38 | ATS record | 42-35 |
| 40-36 | O/U record | 37-40 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 2-3 |
🚑 Lightning vs. Sabres injuries
📺 How to watch Lightning vs. Sabres
- Date: Monday, April 6
- Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, N.Y.)
- TV: NHL Network
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