🏒 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks Tonight (April 9)
The New York Islanders find themselves with their backs against the wall facing the Toronto Maple Leafs. Toronto looks to derail New York's postseason hopes while pushing the Islanders' skid to five straight losses. The two teams are set to face off at 6:45 p.m. ET at UBS Arena in Elmont, N.Y., with the game available to stream on ESPN+, Hulu, and Disney+.
Oddsmakers believe the Islanders will come through as a hefty -300 moneyline favorite on home ice, while the total sits at 6.5. My Maple Leafs vs. Islanders prediction includes a puck-line pick, a score prediction at +3500 odds, and a player prop for Matthew Schaefer.
🏒 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders picks & odds today: April 9
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet type | Units | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Islanders -1.5 (+100 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 1u | Islanders are in a must-win game on home ice. 2-0 SU against the Maple Leafs, including 1-1 on -1.5 puck line. |
| Under 6.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.91u | Sorokin has seven shutouts. Under 6.5 has hit in three of the last four meetings. |
| Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 assists (-130 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 0.77u | 1+ assists in three of previous five starts. |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.68 units
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💰 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders prediction & best bet
Islanders -1.5 (+100)
The New York Islanders need to win tonight to stay in the Eastern Conference wild-card race. Firing former head coach Patrick Roy could fuel a push from the Islanders on home ice against a Maple Leafs offense struggling to score.
New York has covered -1.5 in one of two matchups against the Maple Leafs this season, including a 2-0 straight-up record. The last time the Islanders won a game was at home in a 5-2 victory over the Panthers on March 28th.
Toronto is coming off a 4-0 shutout loss at home against the Capitals with no rest. The Islanders have been enjoying four days off, so let's back them to dominate on home ice with Ilya Sorokin posting his eighth shutout in a 4-0 win.
Score prediction: Islanders 4, Maple Leafs 0 (+3500 via FanDuel)
🔥 Best Maple Leafs vs. Islanders player prop bet
Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 assists (-130)
Schaefer, the 18-year-old phenom, has been a fantastic fit for the Islanders. The defenseman has posted an assist in three of his past five starts, and he's one of the only silver linings during New York's four-game losing skid.
At -130 odds, we're getting a reasonable price on Schaefer to log his 37th assist of the season against a Maple Leafs team that's surrendered 14 goals in its last three matchups. Plus, Artur Akhtyamov is in net for Toronto while making his first start, adding even more incentive to back Schaefer in the assist market.
Head to DraftKings for the best line on Matthew Schaefer's over 0.5 assists prop at -130 odds.
📊 Live Maple Leafs vs. Islanders odds
After opening as a -205 moneyline favorite, the Islanders' odds have become even shorter while shrinking to -270. That indicates public money is coming in on New York, while the total has been staying flat at 6.5 total goals.
The Islanders have won both previous matchups this season, taking the clashes 4-3 and 3-1. Now, they'll have Sorokin in the net against an inexperienced netminder for Toronto, with all of the incentive on New York to snap their losing slump to remain in playoff contention.
🚀 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders same-game parlay
Expect a dominant performance from New York against a Maple Leafs team that's seemingly thrown in the towel while already looking ahead to the offseason. That's why I'm on the Islanders to cover -1.5 as massive home favorites, with a wild-card berth still in reach.
Ilya Sorokin's seven shutouts have been helping the Islanders win pivotal games to get to this point. Toronto has been held to one or fewer goals in two of its last three outings, which bodes well for under 6.5 total goals.
Finally, Schaefer, New York's red-hot rookie defenseman, is set to make an impact offensively in a plus-matchup. Schaefer has tallied four assists across his last five starts and three points, including two goals, against the Maple Leafs this year.
💵 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders SGP picks
- Islanders -1.5 (+100)
- Under 6.5 (-110)
- Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 assists (-130)
Best odds: +576 via DraftKings (0.5u -> 2.88u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9-1 | -0.57u ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
| Player props | 1-3 | -2.35 units ❌ | -58.8% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-3 | +1.18 units ✅ | +25.0% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
To bet the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders game tonight, it's best to back the team with more at stake, which is why we're on the Islanders to cover a -1.5 puck line on home ice. Toronto is on the second half of a back-to-back set following a 4-0 shutout loss at home to the Capitals. The team is going through the motions to end its disappointing season.
Schaefer will be a significant factor for New York tonight. The Islanders' rookie defenseman skates on the top defensive line and primary power-play unit, creating prime chances to notch an assist against a bad defensive team like the Maple Leafs.
Meanwhile, Sorokin should rise up and hold Toronto to two or fewer goals, with an eighth shutout potentially set to happen. That's why I'm going under 6.5 for our total goals wager, paired with the Islanders -1.5, and Schaefer's over 0.5 assist prop on tonight's betting card.
📈 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders betting trends
| Maple Leafs | Statistic | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| 32-32-14 | W-L record | 42-31-5 |
| 33-45 | ATS record | 41-37 |
| 43-34-1 | O/U record | 38-40 |
| 1-4 | Last 5 games | 1-4 |
🚑 Maple Leafs vs. Islanders injuries
📺 How to watch Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
- Date: Thursday, April 9
- Puck drop: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Location: UBS Arena (Elmont, N.Y.)
- Streaming: ESPN+, Hulu, Disney+
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