⚽ Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy Prediction & Lineups: Today's Expert Picks & Odds
The final spot in Group B for the 2026 World Cup is up for grabs today when Bosnia and Herzegovina clash with Italy, and for both federations, the stakes could not be much higher. Neither squad has reached the World Cup in twelve years, so there is plenty on the line. Italy is a clear -215 betting favorite ahead of the action from Bilino Polje Stadium in Zenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina, at 2:45 p.m. ET. The game will air on FS1.
I'm backing La Nazionale to win on the road in my Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy prediction, ending its 12-year drought. I'm also backing Moise Kean to find the back of the net for the visitors on their quest for glory.
🔮 Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy best bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks based on the latest odds from the best sports betting sites.; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet | Odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy ML & Under 3.5 goals | +105 via BetMGM | 1u -> 1.05u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Moise Kean anytime goal | Anytime goal (+150 via BetMGM) | 0.5u -> .75u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.8 units
⚽ Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy prediction
Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.
Italy ML & Under 3.5 goals (+105)
No game is more pressure-packed than a winner-takes-all to punch a World Cup ticket. I expect both teams to play safe football for much of the first half, with chances at a premium. That should help facilitate a game that sees three goals or fewer.
Italy is playing with a ton of confidence since Gattuso took over, having won seven of eight qualifiers and three of four on the road.
Despite how impressive Bosnia has been, it hasn't hosted a team of Italy's quality throughout the qualification. Its three wins came against San Marino, Cyprus, and Romania, the former by a narrow 1-0 score.
Score prediction: Italy 1, Bosnia 0
💡 World Cup prediction markets
The winner of this game will secure their place at the World Cup. There are a bevy of World Cup 2026 prediction markets you can participate in, including the group winner or teams to advance from the group stage.
🙌 Best Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy goal-scorer pick
Search the best soccer player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
Moise Kean, F, Italy (+135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kean was excellent in the semifinal against Northern Ireland, creating multiple scoring chances and bagging the Azzurri's insurance marker late in the second half.
He could have easily had two, maybe three goals, and the Fiorentina striker didn't miss a beat after returning from a minor shin injury. He has scored in all four World Cup qualifiers, netting four.
Kean was much more threatening than Mateo Retegui, who appeared off the pace against Northern Ireland. I'm also liking the +150 odds offered by BetMGM.
⚽️ World Cup Golden Boot odds
If Kean leads Italy to victory, he will be amongst the possibilities to finish World Cup 2026 with the most goals. Take a look at the Golden Boot odds at prediction markets, and pick your favorite to win the illustrious award.
📋 Confirmed starting XI
Here's a look at the confirmed starting lineups for the both squads ahead of today's fixture
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (4-4-2) | Italy (3-5-2) |
|---|---|
| Vasiljev N. (G) | Donnarumma G. (G) |
| Dedic A. | Mancini G. |
| Katic N. | Bastoni A. |
| Muharemovic T. | Calafiori R. |
| Kolasinac S. | Politano M. |
| Basic I. | Barella N. |
| Sinjic I | Locatelli M. |
| Memic A. | Tonali S. |
| Bajraktarevic E. | Dimarco F. |
| Dzeko E. | Kean M. |
| Demirovic E. | Retegui M. |
📊 Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy odds
Moneyline (3-way)
- Bosnia and Herzegovina: +600 ($10 to win $60)
- Italy: -210 ($10 to win $4.76)
- Tie: +280 ($10 to win $28)
Spread
- Bosnia and Herzegovina: +1.5, -196 ($10 to win $5.10)
- Italy: -1.5, +152 ($10 to win $15.20)
Over/Under total goals
- Over 2.5 goals: +116 ($10 to win $11.60)
- Under 2.5 goals: -142 ($10 to win $7.04)
💵 My betting record for soccer picks
All soccer picks have been tracked since March 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-5-0 | +2.3 units ✅ | 17.6% ✅ |
| Player props | 1-2-0 | -1.33 units ❌ | -53% ❌ |
📈 Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy betting trends
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | Statistic | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 6W, 2D, 1L | Season record | 7W, 0D, 2L |
| WDWWD | Last 5 games | WLWWW |
| 2-1 W, Wales (shootout) | Previous result | 2-0 W, Northern Ireland |
🌤️ Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy weather
It will be a cool 38 degrees at kickoff, with a 74% chance of precipitation. Winds will gust to 13 mph.
🧠 World Cup qualification playoff final predictions
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy prediction
- Sweden vs. Poland prediction
- Czech Republic vs. Denmark prediction
📺 How to watch Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy
- Date: Tuesday, March 31
- Kickoff: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica
- TV: FOX Sports
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