Napoli vs. Chelsea Parlay Picks: Today's Best Champions League SGP & Starting Lineups
It's a clash of one team that doesn't lose at home and a team that doesn't win on the road, and it's one of the most appealing Champions League games today. Our Napoli vs. Chelsea same-game parlay leans into the home and away records of both teams, but also focuses on one important point: neither can afford not to win.
For Chelsea, a victory should be enough to secure a top-eight spot. For Napoli, a loss would spell the end of their UCL campaign. The visiting Blues are a +105 betting favorite ahead of kickoff from Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Napoli, Italy, at 3 p.m. ET this afternoon. You can stream all the action on Paramount+.
💰 Napoli vs. Chelsea SGP parlay
- Leg 1: Double chance: Napoli or draw (-150)
- Leg 2: Over 2.5 goals (-134)
- Leg 3: Estevao to take 3+ shots (-150)
- Bonus Leg 4: see below!
Napoli vs. Chelsea same-game parlay: +428 via FanDuel ($10 to win $42.80)
🏠 Diego's house
Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.
Chelsea hasn't been able to pick up a win on the road in the Champions League this season, and that seems like a good stat to lean into. However, what's even wilder is that Napoli hasn't lost a home game in over a calendar year (their last home loss was on Dec. 8, 2024).
Chelsea has conceded two or more goals in each of its three road games in this UCL campaign, recording just one point. Napoli has scored two or more in two of its three home games, and it is a must-win situation.
Leg 1: Double chance: Napoli or tie (-150)
🏆️ Is Chelsea a real threat?
Our Champions League predictions look at the odds to reach the final, and, shockingly, Chelsea ranks eighth at +850. That represents a 10.53% chance of reaching the big game, which, honestly, is way more of a chance than I'd give them.
⚽ Pushing for the win
The double-chance above suits me fine here for the added security, but let's be real: a draw suits no one. Chelsea has looked much improved under Liam Rosenior, but this is his first game at this level; for Antonio Conte, he'll be looking to shake the UCL monkey and topple his former squad.
A loss for Chelsea will almost certainly mean they fall short of the top eight; a loss for Napoli will mean their campaign ends. Both squads will be pushing hard, knowing that one might not be enough, and neither side will settle for a loss.
Leg 2: Over 2.5 goals (-134)
🧨 Goals. So. Many. Goals.
This is far from the only game that will see both teams pushing hard for a victory, and our Dortmund vs. Inter parlay explains why that game should cash the Over 2.5 goals, too.
👟 Firing away
There are two factors at play with this pick: first, since Rosenior took over at the helm of Chelsea, Estevao has been absolutely firing away, and second, Cole Palmer might not be available for the game - and even if he is, he may be off the bench. (editor's note: Palmer is not in the starting XI, but is available off the bench)
In the four games that Estevao has featured in since Rosenior took over, the young Brazilian has taken four shots on three occasions and two shots on the other. Of note: two of those games weren't starts. With it all on the line, the new manager will lean on his budding star.
Leg 3: Estevao to take 3+ shots (-150)
‼️ Chelsea vs. Napoli confirmed starting lineups
Napoli: Meret (GK), Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, McTominay, Olivera, Hojlund, Elmas, Di Lorenz, Vergara, Spinazzola, Lobotka
Chelsea: Sanchez (GK), Cucurella, Fofana, James, Gusto, Santos, Caicedo, Neto, Enzo, Estevao, Joao Pedro
🌠 Anytime goal scorer bonus pick
It's been an impressive year for Scott McTominay as he looks to build off last year's Serie A MVP. The midfielder netted 12 times last year and has five this year. He also leads the team with four goals in Champions League play.
With a lot of predictions floating around for his shot total or his shot on target lines, let's take it a step further. He's tossed at least two shots in eight straight games (25 shots) and has found the target 10 times, resulting in four goals.
Want more goal scorer action? My PSG vs. Newcastle parlay highlights another team's leading scorer that's set to find the back of net tonight with the pressure on.
Bonus leg: Scott McTominay to score (+290)
💸 Boost the SGP
Adding this play to the base Napoli vs. Chelsea same-game parlay boots the odds to +1003, profiting $100 on a winning $10 bet.
📊 Live Napoli vs. Chelsea odds
See the latest Champions League odds for every game in real time.
🌤️ Napoli vs. Chelsea weather
It's going to be a moderately chilly fall night in Napoli, with temperatures hovering just below 50 F. But it's not looking nice and comfortable: it's calling for moderately heavy rain all day and into the evening, with wind gusts reaching nearly 50 km/h.
📺 How to watch Napoli vs. Chelsea
- Date: Wednesday, Jan. 28
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli, Italy)
- TV: Paramount+
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