PSG vs. Monaco Prediction, Odds & Lineups Today: Champions League Playoff Parlay

I'm backing PSG to put its recent struggles aside and win the opening leg of today's Champions League playoff against Ligue 1 rivals Monaco.
Ousmane Dembele in action as we provide our PSG vs. Monaco prediction and odds.
Pictured: Ousmane Dembele in action as we provide our PSG vs. Monaco prediction and odds. Photo by Lionel Urman via Imagn Images
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My PSG vs. Monaco prediction and parlay looks at whether the defending Champions League winners can shake off a rocky stretch and assert dominance when the action gets started in just under an hour. The confirmed starting lineups are in, and it's almost time to rumble.

Despite being on the road at Stade Louis II in Monaco, France, PSG is a moneyline betting favorite against their Ligue 1 rivals. Despite losing 3-1 to Rennes a couple of days ago, I'm expecting Luis Enrique's side to take advantage of a depleted home team.


⚽ PSG vs. Monaco prediction

Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.

PSG & Under 4.5 goals (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While PSG hasn't shown it lately, it is the superior collective. Both teams have endured a significant list of injuries, but the defending Champions League winners received excellent news regarding Ousmane Dembélé and João Neves. Both will play in Tuesday's first leg.  

While PSG has struggled recently, including Friday's 3-1 shock loss to Rennes, the Champions League odds contenders will rise to the occasion and defeat a Monaco team that has 20 fewer points in Ligue 1. I'd play this bet to even-money +100 odds. 

Score prediction: PSG 2, Monaco 1 

💵 Full first leg coverage

With eight games over the next two days I break down all the action and provide my four favorite players in my Champions League predictions for the first leg of the playoffs


🙌 Best PSG vs. Monaco goal-scorer pick

Search the best soccer player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Ousmane Dembele, Forward, PSG (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dembélé has endured an injury-plagued campaign, and his status for Tuesday's match was in question, albeit briefly.

When healthy, the Frenchman is one of the best forwards in the world. He scored three goals in his previous two Ligue 1 matches, including one on Friday against Rennes. 

He has one goal in three Champions League starts and was fired up after PSG lost to Rennes on Friday. If he harnesses his anger in the right way, which a forward of his status and skill set should, he'll likely get on the scoresheet against Monaco.

💸 Same-Game Parlay:

Leg 1: PSG moneyline (-180)

Leg 2: Ousmane Dembele anytime goal (-110)

Leg 3: Under 3.5 goals (-162) 

Parlay odds: +380 ($38 profit on $10 bet)


🗣️ Will Ousmane Dembele's comments negatively impact PSG? 

Dembele heavily criticized his teammates after PSG's 3-1 loss to Rennes, saying they were thinking more about themselves than the team. 

Frustrations often boil over, especially for a team unfamiliar with losing domestic games. They can have a negative impact, depending on the team's character, but I'm not concerned about Dembele or PSG, as it's a team chock-full of winning pedigree. 

Luis Enrique's team won the Champions League last season, and if anything, the comments should galvanize the collective, helping facilitate a revived performance. 

🩼 More injury woes

This isn't the only game to be impacted by injuries - Andrew Reid's Benfica vs. Real Madrid same-game parlay breaks down how that game will be impacted by the players off the pitch.


📊 Live PSG vs. Monaco odds

See the latest Champions League odds for every game in real time.

‼️ Confirmed starting XI

Monaco: Kohn (GK) - Faes - Teze - Henrique - Vanderson - Golovin - Zakaria - Camara - Balogun - Adringa - Akilouche

PSG: Safonov (GK) - Pacho - Marquinhos - Mendes - Hakimi - Vitinha - Neves - Zaire-Emery - Dembele - Barcola - Kvaratskhelia


📈 PSG vs. Monaco betting trends

PSG Statistic Monaco
4W, 2D, 2L  Season record 2W, 4D, 2L 
LWDLD Last 5 games WDWLD
1-1, Newcastle  Previous result 0-0, Juventus

🇫🇷 PSG vs. Monaco head-to-head history 

PSG lost the previous meeting against Monaco, its only defeat in the last six head-to-heads. 

PSG Monaco  Competition  Location  Date
0 1 Ligue 1  Monaco  29/11/2025
4 1 Ligue 1 Paris  07/02/2025
1 0 Trophée des Champions Doha  05/01/2025
4 2 Ligue 1 Monaco  18/12/2024
0 0 Ligue 1  Monaco 01/03/2024
5 2 Ligue 1 Paris  24/11/2023
1 3 Ligue 1 Monaco  11/02/2023
1 1 Ligue 1  Paris 28/08/2022

🌤️ PSG vs. Monaco weather

It will be about 56 degrees at kickoff with no chance of precipitation. However, winds will gust to 36mph, which will slightly impact proceedings. 


📺 How to watch PSG vs. Monaco

  • Date: Tuesday, Feb. 17
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: The Stade Louis II (Monaco)
  • TV: Paramount+

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