PSG vs. Monaco Prediction, Odds & Lineups Today: Champions League Playoff Parlay
Last Updated: February 17, 2026 3:15 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
My PSG vs. Monaco prediction and parlay looks at whether the defending Champions League winners can shake off a rocky stretch and assert dominance when the action gets started in just under an hour. The confirmed starting lineups are in, and it's almost time to rumble.
Despite being on the road at Stade Louis II in Monaco, France, PSG is a moneyline betting favorite against their Ligue 1 rivals. Despite losing 3-1 to Rennes a couple of days ago, I'm expecting Luis Enrique's side to take advantage of a depleted home team.
⚽ PSG vs. Monaco prediction
Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.
PSG & Under 4.5 goals (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While PSG hasn't shown it lately, it is the superior collective. Both teams have endured a significant list of injuries, but the defending Champions League winners received excellent news regarding Ousmane Dembélé and João Neves. Both will play in Tuesday's first leg.
While PSG has struggled recently, including Friday's 3-1 shock loss to Rennes, the Champions League odds contenders will rise to the occasion and defeat a Monaco team that has 20 fewer points in Ligue 1. I'd play this bet to even-money +100 odds.
Score prediction: PSG 2, Monaco 1
💵 Full first leg coverage
With eight games over the next two days I break down all the action and provide my four favorite players in my Champions League predictions for the first leg of the playoffs.
🙌 Best PSG vs. Monaco goal-scorer pick
Search the best soccer player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
Ousmane Dembele, Forward, PSG (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dembélé has endured an injury-plagued campaign, and his status for Tuesday's match was in question, albeit briefly.
When healthy, the Frenchman is one of the best forwards in the world. He scored three goals in his previous two Ligue 1 matches, including one on Friday against Rennes.
He has one goal in three Champions League starts and was fired up after PSG lost to Rennes on Friday. If he harnesses his anger in the right way, which a forward of his status and skill set should, he'll likely get on the scoresheet against Monaco.
💸 Same-Game Parlay:
Leg 1: PSG moneyline (-180)
Leg 2: Ousmane Dembele anytime goal (-110)
Leg 3: Under 3.5 goals (-162)
Parlay odds: +380 ($38 profit on $10 bet)
🗣️ Will Ousmane Dembele's comments negatively impact PSG?
Dembele heavily criticized his teammates after PSG's 3-1 loss to Rennes, saying they were thinking more about themselves than the team.
Frustrations often boil over, especially for a team unfamiliar with losing domestic games. They can have a negative impact, depending on the team's character, but I'm not concerned about Dembele or PSG, as it's a team chock-full of winning pedigree.
Luis Enrique's team won the Champions League last season, and if anything, the comments should galvanize the collective, helping facilitate a revived performance.
🩼 More injury woes
This isn't the only game to be impacted by injuries - Andrew Reid's Benfica vs. Real Madrid same-game parlay breaks down how that game will be impacted by the players off the pitch.
📊 Live PSG vs. Monaco odds
See the latest Champions League odds for every game in real time.
‼️ Confirmed starting XI
Monaco: Kohn (GK) - Faes - Teze - Henrique - Vanderson - Golovin - Zakaria - Camara - Balogun - Adringa - Akilouche
PSG: Safonov (GK) - Pacho - Marquinhos - Mendes - Hakimi - Vitinha - Neves - Zaire-Emery - Dembele - Barcola - Kvaratskhelia
📈 PSG vs. Monaco betting trends
| PSG | Statistic | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 4W, 2D, 2L | Season record | 2W, 4D, 2L |
| LWDLD | Last 5 games | WDWLD |
| 1-1, Newcastle | Previous result | 0-0, Juventus |
🇫🇷 PSG vs. Monaco head-to-head history
PSG lost the previous meeting against Monaco, its only defeat in the last six head-to-heads.
| PSG | Monaco | Competition | Location | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | 29/11/2025 |
| 4 | 1 | Ligue 1 | Paris | 07/02/2025 |
| 1 | 0 | Trophée des Champions | Doha | 05/01/2025 |
| 4 | 2 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | 18/12/2024 |
| 0 | 0 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | 01/03/2024 |
| 5 | 2 | Ligue 1 | Paris | 24/11/2023 |
| 1 | 3 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | 11/02/2023 |
| 1 | 1 | Ligue 1 | Paris | 28/08/2022 |
🌤️ PSG vs. Monaco weather
It will be about 56 degrees at kickoff with no chance of precipitation. However, winds will gust to 36mph, which will slightly impact proceedings.
📺 How to watch PSG vs. Monaco
- Date: Tuesday, Feb. 17
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: The Stade Louis II (Monaco)
- TV: Paramount+
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