PSG vs. Monaco Prediction & Odds: Champions League Playoff Preview, Parlay for Feb. 17

PSG travels to Monaco in the first leg of their Champions League playoff, and I'm backing them to secure a narrow victory.
Ousmane Dembele in action as we provide our PSG vs. Monaco prediction and odds.
Pictured: Ousmane Dembele in action as we provide our PSG vs. Monaco prediction and odds. Photo by Stephane Mahe via Imagn Images
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The French champions find themselves in an unfamiliar situation as I offer my PSG vs. Monaco prediction for Tuesday's Champions League playoff first leg from The Stade Louis II (3 p.m. ET, Paramount+). 

Luis Enrique's side isn't used to playing at this stage of the competition, having usually secured automatic qualification to the quarterfinals. They'll have to put together successive sound outings to join the other Champions League odds favorites in the final eight. PSG is the -180 moneyline betting favorite to secure a road win before returning to Parc des Princes for next week's return leg, and I'm backing them to get the job done against fellow Ligue 1 side Monaco. 


⚽ PSG vs. Monaco prediction

Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.

PSG & Under 4.5 goals (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While PSG hasn't shown it lately, it is the superior collective. Both teams have endured a significant list of injuries, but the defending Champions League winners received excellent news regarding Ousmane Dembélé and João Neves. Both will play in Tuesday's first leg.  

While PSG has struggled recently, including Friday's 3-1 shock loss to Rennes, the Champions League odds contenders will rise to the occasion and defeat a Monaco team that has 20 fewer points in Ligue 1. I'd play this bet to even-money +100 odds. 

Score prediction: PSG 2, Monaco 1 


🙌 Best PSG vs. Monaco goal-scorer pick

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Ousmane Dembele, Forward, PSG (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dembélé has endured an injury-plagued campaign, and his status for Tuesday's match was in question, albeit briefly.

When healthy, the Frenchman is one of the best forwards in the world. He scored three goals in his previous two Ligue 1 matches, including one on Friday against Rennes. 

He has one goal in three Champions League starts and was fired up after PSG lost to Rennes on Friday. If he harnesses his anger in the right way, which a forward of his status and skill set should, he'll likely get on the scoresheet against Monaco.

💸 Same-Game Parlay:

Leg 1: PSG moneyline (-180)

Leg 2: Ousmane Dembele anytime goal (-110)

Leg 3: Under 3.5 goals (-162) 

Parlay odds: +380 ($38 profit on $10 bet)


🗣️ Will Ousmane Dembele's comments negatively impact PSG? 

Dembele heavily criticized his teammates after PSG's 3-1 loss to Rennes, saying they were thinking more about themselves than the team. 

Frustrations often boil over, especially for a team unfamiliar with losing domestic games. They can have a negative impact, depending on the team's character, but I'm not concerned about Dembele or PSG, as it's a team chock-full of winning pedigree. 

Luis Enrique's team won the Champions League last season, and if anything, the comments should galvanize the collective, helping facilitate a revived performance. 


📊 Live PSG vs. Monaco odds

See the latest Champions League odds for every game in real time.


📈 PSG vs. Monaco betting trends

PSG Statistic Monaco
4W, 2D, 2L  Season record 2W, 4D, 2L 
LWDLD Last 5 games WDWLD
1-1, Newcastle  Previous result 0-0, Juventus

🌤️ PSG vs. Monaco weather

It will be about 56 degrees at kickoff with no chance of precipitation. However, winds will gust to 36mph, which will slightly impact proceedings. 


📺 How to watch PSG vs. Monaco

  • Date: Tuesday, Feb. 17
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: The Stade Louis II (Monaco)
  • TV: Paramount+

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