Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Odds & UFC 324 Fight Info: Interim Title Prediction

The interim lightweight strap is on the line tonight when Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett square off at UFC 324, and we have the latest Gaethje vs. Pimblett odds and UFC 324 analysis.

Paddy "The Baddy" is a -245 betting favorite to claim the title for the first time. While we are focused on the main event, you can find the full board of UFC 324 odds for every fight on the card at T-Mobile Arena. And the best thing about this card? You don't need pay-per-view: UFC 324 is available in full on Paramount+.

🆚 Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett live betting odds & fight date

Here are the odds from our best UFC betting sites for Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett, which update in real time.

Moneyline analysis & prediction

There hasn't been much UFC 324 odds movement: Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett has been the moneyline betting favorite for this fight throughout - but perhaps shouldn't be. Gaethje is the far more experienced fighter and has been an interim lightweight champ before. His resume, despite having losses peppered throughout, reads like a who's who of lightweight fighters. This is a major step up in class for Pimblett. 

But he enters with a perfect 7-0 record since joining the UFC, and is a well-hyped star. That's perhaps why this line isn't as close as it should be in reality. 

Just like this main event, the co-main should be full of fireworks; our O'Malley vs. Song analysis breaks down a fight sure to be full of fireworks.

Total rounds analysis

This is a five-round fight, but I'm not expecting it to go all the way. The market is nearly split between the Over (-116) and Under (-110) 2.5 rounds, but I see it landing on the Under. Gaethje has a method to an early victory by taking advantage of Pimblett's soft defense; if Paddy can get the job done, it will likely be via an early scramble resulting in a submission of Gaethje. The former champ does have two submission losses across his last eight fights, and they both came within the first round and a half. 

If you're looking for a fight that's destined to end up in the judges hands, our Silva vs. Namajunas prediction breaks down why that's the fight for you.

Method of victory odds & pick

Method of victory odds via FanDuel.

Gaethje's experience and style is going to cause fits for the defense of Pimblett. Gaethje will need to be careful of Pimblett's takedowns, but if he can land leg kicks to wear the younger fighter down, he'll be able to do what he does best: land significant strikes. While Pimblett has shown some resilience, everyone has a chin until they don't, as the saying goes. Gaethje to win by KO/TKO/DQ at +390 presents excellent value as one of my best UFC picks.

⚖️ Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett tale of the tape

📺 How to watch Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett: UFC 324

• Date: Saturday, Jan. 24
• Time: 9 p.m. ET (main card start)
• Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
• TV: Paramount+

💡 More UFC 324 coverage & picks

• Full event board: Live UFC 324 betting odds
• The co-main: Sean O'Malley vs. Song Yadong Analysis
• Heavyweight fireworks: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis Predictions
• Flyweight title eliminator: Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas breakdown
• The best bets: UFC 324 expert picks