🩸 UFC Fight Night Odds: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott Betting Lines & Card Info

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott brings the octagon back to the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, on Saturday. We have the live UFC Winnipeg odds, and will break down every fight from the first prelim through the headlining bout between No. 6-ranked Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott. 

The co-main features a tactical bantamweight clash between Kyler Phillips and Charles Jourdain. Fans can catch the action from the prelims (5 p.m. ET) through the main card (8 p.m. ET) on Paramount+.

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📊 UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott odds - Main Card

Gilbert Burns (22-9) vs. Mike Malott (13-2-1)

Gilbert Burns ->

• The Weathered Elite: Looking to snap a four-fight skid and prove his grappling remains elite at 39-years-old
• Key stat: His record includes significant wins over opponents like Jorge Masvidal and Stephen Thompson

Mike Malott ->

• The Evolution of Proper: Transitioned from a pure finisher to a disciplined 15-minute tactician
• Key stat: Two of his last three fights have been decision wins, ending a run of 100% wins coming via finish

🩸 Betting outlook

This has all the feeling of a "changing of the guard" matchup. I like Malott to get the job done against the aging Burns, but so do the oddsmakers who have given him a long price. This is part of a parlay only for me until we get a better look at some other markets.

Kyler Phillips (12-4) vs. Charles Jourdain (17-8-1)

Kyler Phillips ->

• The Matrix: Known for high-level creative striking and unpredictable rhythm
• Key stat: Has lost his last two fights via Unanimous Decision (to Vinicius Oliveira and Rob Font)

Charles Jourdain ->

• Air Jourdain: A Canadian fan-favorite who excels in high-volume, chaotic exchanges
• Key stat: Entering on a two-fight win streak, securing a first-round submission of Davey Grant (Oct. 2025) and a 2nd-round submission of Victor Henry (Nov. 2024)

🩸 Betting outlook

Jourdan has only been finished twice in his career, and Phillips never has. I'm not sure who has the edge in this war, but for value I'm going to look toward taking the Over 2.5 Rounds and Fight To Go The Distance: Yes when those markets open.

Mandel Nallo (14-3) vs. Jai Herbert (13-6-1)

Mandel Nallo ->

• Mango: Looking to establish himself in the lightweight division with a high-profile appearance in his home country
• Key stat: 100% of his career wins have come via stoppage (eight KO/TKO, six submission)

Jai Herbert ->

• The Black Country Brawler: A long, rangey striker with elite-level kickboxing
• Key stat: Herbert has struggled with consistency at the UFC level, going 3-5-1 since making the leap

🩸 Betting outlook

Nallo's value is just holding on as long as his moneyline remains better than -200. With the "Canada edge" shining through, he'll get by the struggling Herbert. However, the real beauty here might be his KO or submission prices when they become available as all of his wins have come via stoppage.

Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-4) vs. Karine Silva (19-6)

Jasmine Jasudavicius ->

• The Niagara Nightmare: Relentless grinder who uses her strength to dominate clinch and ground positions
• Key stat: Has six fights in the last two years, going 5-1 with three submission victories

Karine Silva ->

• Killer Karine: A submission specialist with a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
• Key stat: Has gone to the judges in four straight (2-2), but had a 100% finish rate prior (eight KO/TKO, nine submissions)

🩸 Betting outlook

These are two tightly matched flyweights, with the No. 7 ranked (Jasudavicius) and No. 9 ranked (Silva) clashing. I think Jasudavicius is the better fighter, but the price on the underdog is too much for me to ignore in what should be good fight. Silva's BJJ black belt should be enough to stave off the submissions attempts.

Thiago Moises (19-9) vs. Gauge Young (10-3)

Thiago Moises ->

• The Technical Specialist: A veteran who has shared the cage with the absolute elite
• Key stat: Moises averages 1.14 submission attempts per 15 minutes

Gauge Young ->

• The prospect: An explosive relative newcomer looking to use this fight as a stepping stone to the rankings
• Key stat: While he delivers 5.71 strikes per minute, a 48% defense has resulted in absorbing 5.82

🩸 Betting outlook

Moises is somehow only 31, despite that he feels older. Many see this fight as a chance for Young to take another step, but I'm siding with the experience of Moises to get the job done as a short underdog. 

Dennis Buzukja (12-5) vs. Marcio Barbosa (17-2)

Dennis Buzukja ->

• The Great: A tough-as-nails striker from the Serra-Longo camp
• Key stat: First walk since 2024 went 1-3 in his first four UFC bouts with two decision losses and a KO/TKO loss

Marcio Barbosa ->

• The Brazilian Finisher: Making a mark with aggressive counter-striking
• Key stat: Has recorded four first-round KO/TKO victories ahead of his UFC debut

🩸 Betting outlook

Barbosa's long moneyline price will necessitate being a part of a parlay, at best, or looking toward method of victory or when the fight will end markets once they open. 

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📊 UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott odds - Prelims

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Julien LeBlanc (10-2) vs. Robert Valentin (11-6)

Julien LeBlanc ->

• Quebec Power: Making his UFC debut; most recently competed in Samourai MMA in 2025
• Key stat: His 10 career wins are comprised of four KO/TKO victories and four submission finishes

Robert Valentin ->

• Robzilla: The Swiss fighter has recorded three straight losses (twice by KO/TKO, one by split decision) to start his UFC career
• Key stat: Has only landed 1.13 strikes per minute across his three UFC bouts

Tanner Boser (21-10-1) vs. Gokhan Saricam (9-2)

Tanner Boser ->

• The Bulldozer: Returning to UFC for first time since 2023; first stint ended with a 5-5 record with the promotion
• Key stat: Only his second bout since Aug. 2023, with one fight with UAE Warriors last year

Gokhan Saricam ->

• Bellator Import: Joining off a 5-2 run in Bellator between 2019-2023
• Key stat: Also making his first walk since 2023

Melissa Croden (7-3) vs. Daria Zhelezniakova (10-2)

Melissa Croden ->

• The Scare from Calgary: 100% of her wins are via finish (six via KO/TKO, one submission)
• Key stat: Lands 4.10 strikes/minute, 1.83 strikes absorbed/minute, and 1.02 takedowns per 15

Daria Zhelezniakova ->

• Iron Lady: Entered the UFC with five KO/TKO victories in nine pro fights, but is 2-1 with two decision wins with the promotion
• Key stat: A 68% defense has limited her to 2.83 strikes landed/minute in her three pro bouts

Mitch Raposo (10-3) vs Allan Nascimento (22-6) 

Mitch Raposo ->

• The Kid: One of the younger fighters on the card at 27-years-old, he has one unanimous decision win and two split decision losses in the UFC
• Key stat: Will lean on his wrestling (2.54 submission average but just 1.73 strikes landed/minute)

Allan Nascimento ->

• Puro Osso: Has rattled off four straight wins since dropping a split decision in his UFC debut in 2021
• Key stat: 16 of his 22 career wins via submission, his 37% takedown defense show a willingness to go to the mat

JJ Aldrich (14-7) vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (9-2)

JJ Aldrich ->

• Technician: No. 14 ranked flyweight, she has just one fight in 2024 (UD loss to Veronica Hardy) and one fight in 2025 (UD win over Andrea Lee)
• Key stat: Has been in the UFC since late 2016, with 13 of 16 fights going to the judges (one KO/TKO win, one KO/TKO loss, one submission loss)

Jamey-Lyn Horth ->

• The BC Bomber: Recorded her first UFC KO/TKO victory in December, finishing Tereza Bleda in the first round
• Key stat: Excellent takedown defense (79%) and striking defense (63%, 2.50 absorbed/minute)

John Castaneda (21-8) vs. Mark Vologin (12-4-1)

John Castaneda ->

• Sexy Mexi: Lost his last two UFC fights, both via decision (Daniel Marcos in 2024, Chris Gutierrez last year)
• Key stat: Averages 1.68 takedowns/15, but with just 37% accuracy

Mark Vologin ->

• First UFC walk: Despite a career dating to 2018, this is is first pure UFC bout (has a DWCS loss in October)
• Key stat: Absorbed 11 strikes/minute during his unanimous-decision loss to Adrian Luna Martinelli in DWCS

Jamie Siraj (14-3) vs. John Yannis (9-4)

Jamie Siraj ->

• The Gremlin: His career dates to 2014, but only on small circuits; had no bouts between July 2019 and June 2023
• Key stat: His three career losses have come from one each decision, KO/TKO, and submission

John Yannis ->

• The Bounce Back: Yannis lost his UFC debut via submission to Austin Bashi in August
• Key stat: Has never been stopped via KO/TKO, but is 0-2 via submission in his career

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📺 Where to watch UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott

• Date: Saturday, April 18
• Start times: 5 p.m. ET (prelims), 8 p.m. ET (main card)
• Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, Manitoba)
• Streaming: Paramount+

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