🏀 Sun vs. Storm Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, May 22
Two WNBA bottom feeders clash tonight with the worst record in the league on the line as the Connecticut Sun head to Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle to take on the Seattle Storm at 10 p.m. ET (ION, WNBA League Pass).
With neither of these teams being a WNBA championship odds contender, Seattle is just a 1-point betting favorite at home, and my Sun vs. Storm prediction projects a rookie to power them to a win.
🏀 Sun vs. Storm prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Storm ML (-120 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.83u | Seattle beat Connecticut once, and lost by only two the second time they played |
| Under 166 (-110 via bet365) | 1u → 0.91u | These are the two worst offenses in the W |
| Flau'jae Johnson Over 13.5 points (-120 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.83u | With Dominique Malonga out, Johnson will need to take on a bigger scoring role |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.57 units
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🏆 Who will win Sun vs. Storm?
These two teams have already played twice this season, each winning a game, but the Storm are outscoring the Sun 169 to 160. Seattle's defense should be the difference again.
Score prediction: Storm 83, Sun 81
💰 Sun vs. Storm prediction & best bet
Strom ML (-120)
The Storm are down Malonga, but the Sun aren't healthy either, with Brittney Griner being a game-time decision and both backup center Olivia Nelson-Ododa and guard Leila Lacan out. That's tough for a Connecticut team that's last in the W in net rating (-15.2) and offensive rating (97.2).
Seattle can win this game with its defense. The Storm have an average defense, sitting No. 8 in defensive rating (105.7) and effective field-goal percentage allowed (49.3%).
That might not sound great, but it's enough to stop a Sun team that's last in both effective field-goal percentage (45.7%) and 3-point percentage (27.4%)
📈 More WNBA action
For more WNBA action, don't miss my Wings vs. Dream prediction and my Valkyries vs. Fever prediction.
🔥 Best Sun vs. Storm player prop bet
Flau'jae Johnson Over 13.5 points (-120)
Malonga is the Storm's leading scorer (16 PPG) and shot taker (13.3 field goals per game), and with her out, there will be more opportunity for rookie Flau'jae Johnson. The 8th overall pick is third on the team in MPG (25.6) and field-goal attempts per game (9.8), while averaging 10.8 PPG.
In her last four games, Johnson has put up Over 13.5 points twice, including dropping a career-high 16 points in Seattle's May 10 win over the Sun.
Connecticut's defense is among the worst in the league, sitting third-last in defensive rating (112.3) and allowing the fourth-highest effective field-goal percentage (55.1%).
🚀 Sun vs. Storm same-game parlay
If the Storm are going to win, it will be because of their defense and players like Johnson stepping up in Malonga's absence.
💵 Sun vs. Storm SGP picks
- Storm ML (-128)
- Under 165.5 (-112)
- Flau'jae Johnson Over 13.5 points (-120)
Best odds: +449 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 0.9u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-24 | +2.73 units ✅ | 7.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 8-5 | +1.71 units ✅ | 13.1% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-9 | +0.09 units ✅ | 4.4% ✅ |
📊 Live Sun vs. Storm odds
📺 How to watch Sun vs. Storm
- Date: Friday, May 22
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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