🏀 NBA Player Props Tonight: March 27 Best Bets for Luka Doncic, Cooper Flagg & More

My NBA player props tonight include three Overs, which is rare, as I usually bet more Unders.
Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77) walks off the court as we break down our NBA player props tonight.
Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77) walks off the court as we break down our NBA player props tonight. Photo by Jerome Miron / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Doncic Continues MVP Campaign Tonight

My NBA player props tonight target Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers made (-172), as he faces a Wizards team that allows the ninth-highest 3-point percentage in the league. My next NBA best bet is Cooper Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-135). He has been stuffing the stat sheet lately as he competes with Kon Knueppel in the Rookie of the Year race. I wrap up my top picks for tonight with Luka Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists (-104), as he has a great matchup tonight against the Brooklyn Nets.


πŸ€ Best NBA player props tonight: March 27

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick πŸ’‘ Best odds βš–οΈ Bet size 🧠 Why I'm making this bet
Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers made -172 via DraftKings 1.72u -> 1u Wizards allow 9th-highest 3-point percentage
Cooper Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists -135 via BetMGM 1.35u -> 1u Has recorded 13+ rebounds + assists in 3 straight
Luka Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists -104 via DraftKings 1.04u -> 1u Nets rank bottom 5 in rebounding + assists stats

Total wagered: 4.11 units | Max profit: 3 units


πŸ’° Best NBA player prop bet tonight

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers made (-172)

I'm expecting Podziemski to stay hot from 3-point land tonight. He has made two 3-pointers in back-to-back games, and now he faces a Wizards team allowing the ninth-highest 3-point percentage (36.4%) in the NBA.

Podziemski is attempting a season-high 6.2 three-pointers per game in March, and if he puts up six shots from deep tonight, we'll likely cash this bet. DraftKings lists Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers at -172, but this bet is good up to -205 on the best sports betting sites.

  • Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
  • Spread: Warriors -14.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
  • How to watch Wizards vs. Warriors: Monumental Sports Network, NBC Sports Bay Area

πŸ”₯ More NBA player prop picks

Cooper Flagg has the second-shortest odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year.

Cooper Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-135)

The only thing Dallas has to play for right now is helping Flagg win Rookie of the Year. He has better stats than Kon Knueppel in almost every category, except 3-point shooting (and team record). Flagg is going to need to continue putting up big numbers if he wants to overtake Knueppel in the odds.

He has recorded 13 or more rebounds + assists in three straight games and is averaging 14.7 over the last two weeks. Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists is -135 at BetMGM, but I would still play this up to -160 on the best NBA betting sites.

  • Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
  • Spread: Trail Blazers -10.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
  • How to watch Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: NBA TV

Luka Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists (-104)

I love this matchup for Doncic tonight. The Nets rank last in the NBA in rebounds per away game (47.5) and allow the fifth-most assists per possession (0.271).

Meanwhile, Doncic ranks fourth in the NBA in rebounds + assists per home game (16.1) and has put up 19 or more rebounds + assists in three straight at Crypto.com Arena. DraftKings has Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists at -104, but this bet is good up to -120 on the best sports betting apps.

  • Tipoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • Spread: Lakers -16.5 (-108 via FanDuel)
  • How to watch Nets vs. Lakers: Spectrum SportsNet, YES Network

Luka Doncic prop trends

Here's how Doncic has performed in recent games overall, as well as specifically against the Nets:

Bet Best odds Last 5 games Last 5 vs. Nets
Over 31.5 points -114 via DraftKings 5-0 βœ… 3-2 βœ…
Over 7.5 rebounds -130 via DraftKings 1-4 βŒ 3-2 βœ…
Over 7.5 assists -116 via DraftKings 2-3 βŒ 2-3 βŒ
Over 15.5 rebounds + assists -104 via DraftKings 1-4 βŒ 3-2 βœ…

Based on Doncic's prop trends in this table, I would also consider playing him Over 31.5 points (-114). Doncic has scored 40 or more points in three of his last five games.

🏀 More NBA player props tonight

My Heat vs. Cavaliers player props feature James Harden and Bam Adebayo.


πŸš€ Best NBA parlay picks tonight

The most likely path to Podziemski hitting three or more 3-pointers is getting him as many minutes as possible. If the Warriors are covering -14, there's a strong chance he sits out much of the fourth quarter. With that in mind, let's play both of these bets together at a better-than-fair payout.

💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight

  • Wizards +14
  • Brandin Podziemski Over 2.5 three-pointers made

Best odds: +440 via bet365 (0.23u -> 1u)


🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight

Here's my analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM).

Player Team Bet Odds
Dyson Daniels Hawks Over 10.5 points -135
Dyson Daniels Hawks Over 16.5 points + assists +100
Scottie Barnes Raptors Over 12.5 rebounds + assists -165
Bennedict Mathurin Clippers Over 25.5 points + rebounds + assists -145
Cooper Flagg Mavericks Under 29.5 points + assists -145

Dyson Daniels is drawing plenty of action tonight. He’s hit 11+ points in nine of his 11 March games, including each of his last three. Against the Celtics, he’s gone over 16.5 combined points and assists in each of his last three matchups. Still, the best of these player props is Bennedict Mathurin Over 25.5 points, rebounds, and assists - he’s cleared this line in seven of his last eight games.

🚨 Bonus NBA pick

I'm risking 2.2 units to win 2 units on Bennedict Mathurin Over 26.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110) at DraftKings.


πŸ’΅ My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 76-83-3 -10.28 units βŒ -5.4% ❌
Player props 73-69-3 -9.57 units βŒ -5.2% βŒ
Spreads 1-0 +1.5 units βœ… 87% βœ…
Parlays 2-14 -2.2 units ❌ -45.11% ❌

πŸ’‘ How I'm betting NBA player props tonight

I'm allocating 4.11 units on tonight's slate, which is roughly what I'd typically risk across three player props. I'm confident directionally in all of these bets, though none are priced too far from where I'd set the lines myself. After a losing week, I'm focused on gradually building back to even without getting too aggressive (unless I have a significant edge).


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