🏀 NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025-26: SGA Extends Lead Over Wemby, Brunson
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - who was priced at -135 on May 7 - is a -175 betting favorite in the NBA Finals MVP odds.
San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama and New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson, who are both listed at +500, are the next most likely players to win the award. Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns (+4500) and Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (+6500) have the fourth- and fifth-shortest odds, respectively.
📊 NBA Finals MVP odds 2026
Our NBA Finals MVP odds update in real time based on the latest NBA odds.
🤑 NBA Finals MVP betting insights
Below is Corey Scott’s analysis of the 2026 NBA Finals MVP betting market (insights via BetMGM, current as of May 18):
| Player 🏀 | Current odds 📈 | Ticket % 🎟️ | Handle % 💰 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | +350 | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Jalen Brunson | +750 | 9.4% | 12.3% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | -150 | 8.3% | 18.5% |
| LeBron James | Off the board (OTB) | 8% | 2.9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | +4000 | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Joel Embiid | OTB | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Jayson Tatum | OTB | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Donovan Mitchell | +3300 | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Stephon Castle | +10000 | 4.5% | 2.7% |
The worst-case scenario from a handle perspective for BetMGM is if Gilgeous-Alexander wins Finals MVP. While he represents just 8.3% of tickets (behind Wembanyama and Brunson), he accounts for 18.5% of the handle (more than double Wembanyama's 8.6%).
Even though Wembanyama is the most popular choice right now at 11.8% of tickets, he represents only the third-largest handle, behind Gilgeous-Alexander and Brunson. The biggest bettors in the market seem to be backing Gilgeous-Alexander, with some others also finding value on Brunson. Mitchell accounts for just 1.2% of the handle.
- Corey Scott
🔢 NBA Finals MVP opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +230
- Nikola Jokic: +900
- Donovan Mitchell: +1000
- Jalen Brunson: +1200
- Luka Doncic: +1700
- Kevin Durant: +1800
- Anthony Edwards: +2200
- Kawhi Leonard: +2500
- Paolo Banchero: +2700
- Evan Mobley: +3000
🏅 NBA Finals MVP past award winners
| Team | Year | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 2025 | +1000 |
| Jaylen Brown | 2024 | +700 |
| Nikola Jokic | 2023 | -350 |
| Stephen Curry | 2022 | -110 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2021 | +275 |
| LeBron James | 2020 | -160 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2019 | +245 |
| Kevin Durant | 2018 | -135 |
| Kevin Durant | 2017 | +190 |
| LeBron James | 2016 | +225 |
| Andre Iguodala | 2015 | +12500 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2014 | +1800 |
| LeBron James | 2013 | -250 |
❓ NBA Finals MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP this season?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win his second straight NBA Finals MVP at -175 odds.
Who won NBA Finals MVP last year?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won NBA Finals MVP last season after defeating the Indiana Pacers in seven games.
When will the 2026 NBA Finals MVP be announced?
The NBA Finals MVP award will be announced following the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Finals in June.
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