🏀 NBA Player Props Tonight: Best Bets, Expert Picks & Odds (March 31)

My NBA player props tonight feature Luka Doncic continuing his historic scoring run.

Corey Scott

Last Updated: March 31, 2026 11:21 PM EDT • 4 minute read

Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77) walks off the court as we break down our NBA player props tonight. Photo by Jerome Miron / Imagn Images.

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📡 SBR Edge: Doncic Keeps the Good Times - and Points - Rolling

My NBA player props tonight feature Daniss Jenkins Over 20.5 points + assists (-125), as he has played a larger role on the shorthanded Pistons recently. My next NBA best bet is Bennedict Mathurin Over 23.5 points + rebounds (-122), as he has consistently cashed this bet since going to the Clippers. I wrap up with Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points (-106), as he has been on one of the most impressive scoring streaks I have seen since Kobe Bryant was in the NBA.

🏀 Best NBA player props tonight: March 31

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

💰 Pick	💡 Best odds	⚖️ Bet size	🧠 Why I'm making this bet
Daniss Jenkins Over 20.5 points + assists	-125 via BetMGM	1.88u -> 1.5u	Has cashed this prop in 5 of last 6 games
Bennedict Mathurin Over 23.5 points + rebounds	-122 via Caesars	1.83u -> 1.5u	Has gone Over in 8 of last 9 contests
Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points	-106 via FanDuel	1.59u -> 1.5u	Has scored 33+ points in 6 of last 7 games

Total wagered: 5.3 units | Max profit: 4.5 units

💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight

The Pistons have the seventh-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.

Daniss Jenkins Over 20.5 points + assists (-125) vs. Raptors

Jenkins has become a huge part of the offense since Cade Cunningham - who we're monitoring in our NBA awards eligibility tracker - went down with a collapsed lung.

He has totaled 21 or more points + assists in five of his last six games, including Monday against the Thunder, who rank first in defensive efficiency. Against the Raptors, he should have a much easier time hitting this number. This bet is -125 at BetMGM, but I would play it up to -155 on the best sports betting sites.

🔥 More NBA player prop picks

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Bennedict Mathurin Over 23.5 points + rebounds (-122) vs. Trail Blazers

Mathurin is the No. 2 option on the Clippers, behind Kawhi Leonard, and he has been aggressive crashing the boards since being traded to Los Angeles. He’s averaging nearly three more points per game as a Clipper, along with an additional half-rebound per contest.

He has recorded 24 or more points + rebounds in eight of his last nine games and has cashed this prop in three straight. Caesars lists his Over at -122, but this bet is good up to -150 on the best NBA betting sites.

Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points (-106) vs. Cavaliers

Now is not the time to get cute - or contrarian - and take the Under on Doncic’s points. He has scored 33 or more points in six of his last seven games and should come out even more aggressive tonight after missing Monday’s game due to a league suspension.

A well-rested Doncic facing a Cavaliers team on the second night of a back-to-back seems like a perfect storm for his scoring streak to continue. This bet is -106 at FanDuel, but I would play it up to -125 on the best sports betting apps.

📊 Luka Doncic player prop trends

Here's a look at how Luka Doncic has performed recently, as well as specifically against the Cavaliers:

Bet	Best odds	Last 5 games	Last 5 vs. Cavaliers
Over 32.5 points	-106 via FanDuel	4-1 ✅	3-2 ✅
Over 7.5 rebounds	-112 via Caesars	1-4 ❌	2-3 ❌
Over 7.5 assists	-137 via Caesars	1-4 ❌	2-3 ❌
Over 3.5 three-pointers made	-174 via FanDuel	3-2 ✅	1-4 ❌

While Doncic hasn't recorded many rebounds or assists lately, I would be cautious about playing his Unders tonight. LeBron James is questionable for the Lakers, meaning Doncic - who already leads the NBA in usage rate - will likely record more rebounds and assists.

🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight

Here's my analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM):

Player	Team	Bet	Odds
Karl-Anthony Towns	Knicks	Over 17.5 points	-115
John Collins	Clippers	Over 12.5 points	-110
Scoot Henderson	Trail Blazers	Under 4.5 first-quarter points	-110
Kevin Durant	Rockets	Over 24.5 points	-130
Dillon Brooks	Suns	Over 13.5 points	-130

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points (-115) being the most popular bet at BetMGM tonight isn't surprising, as the number is lower than his season average and he's a star player on one of the two most popular teams in the league (Lakers and Knicks).

Towns has scored 15 or fewer points in back-to-back games and has seen inconsistent minutes since December. The bet is Over 17.5 (-145) at BetMGM now; I would consider playing it Over 18.5 (+107 via DraftKings) instead, as that one point isn't worth 52 cents.

🚀 Best NBA parlay picks tonight

One concern about why Doncic might not score 34 points is that he could play fewer minutes if the Lakers are winning comfortably against the Cavaliers.

If the Cavaliers keep this game close - and the spread suggests that’s the most likely outcome - then Doncic has a better shot at playing more minutes (and scoring more points).

💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight

Cavaliers +2
Doncic Over 33.5 points

Best odds: +310 via bet365 (0.32u -> 1u)

💵 My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type	Record	Net profit	ROI
Overall	83-93-3	-14.3 units ❌	-6.9% ❌
Player props	78-77-3	-15.56 units ❌	-7.8% ❌
Spreads	1-0	+1.5 units ✅	87% ✅
Parlays	4-16	-0.24 units ❌	-3.9% ❌

💡 How I'm betting NBA player props tonight

I'm allocating 5.3 units for tonight's slate, which is more than I would usually risk on three player props.

I'm confident that these three bets are mispriced. If I thought that I had a bigger edge, I would wager even more, up to 2.5 units per bet (or 5 units in a once-in-a-year type scenario).

I treat 1 unit as 1 percent of my bankroll, and while I'm coming off a bad week, my NBA betting typically has high highs and low lows, so I'm expecting things to turn around before the regular season wraps up.

🏀 More NBA player props

I feature Karl-Anthony Towns and Alperen Sengun in my Knicks vs. Rockets player props.

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Written by:
Corey Scott

Corey is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review and holds a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting from the College of Sports Media in Toronto. He is one of the NBA player-prop specialists at SBR and focuses on the impact of injuries to identify where the market has been slow to adjust. Corey also frequently bets sides in the NBA, NFL, MLB, and CFL, typically using a top-down approach to beat the closing line. His work has appeared across the USA Today Network, Gambling.com Group, and Athlon Sports. With more than a decade of sports betting experience, Corey is familiar with all types of operators, from regulated sportsbooks to less conventional platforms, though he primarily uses Pinnacle and FanDuel. While he rarely bets parlays anymore - unless they are clearly mispriced - his biggest win came from a seven-team parlay at +13675 odds. Corey visits Las Vegas multiple times a year. His favorite resort is the Wynn/Encore, though he can be found at any sportsbook offering an off-market number.