🏀 Spurs vs. Thunder Player Props: Top Picks & Best Bets for Game 5
📡 SBR Edge: Keep Fading Holmgren vs. Wemby
Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points (-121) headlines my Spurs vs. Thunder player props for Game 5 today. He has a 65.1% true shooting percentage in this series, as Oklahoma City simply has no answer for him defensively. Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points (-120) rounds out the card. His usage rate sits at just 15.4% in this series, and he's consistently struggled to score against Wembanyama.
π Best Spurs vs. Thunder player props: NBA Playoffs Game 5
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points | -121 via DraftKings | 1.82u -> 1.5u | Has a 65.1% true shooting percentage in conference finals |
| Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points | -120 via BetMGM | 1.8u -> 1.5u | Has a 15.4% usage percentage in conference finals |
Total wagered: 3.62 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best Spurs vs. Thunder prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points (-121)
I talked about this before the series began - so I may sound like a broken record - but the Thunder genuinely have a Wembanyama problem. Holmgren, who made All-NBA Third Team and finished 2nd in DPOY voting, has been so ineffective at defending Wembanyama that he has even been benched late in games.
The Thunderβs inability to guard Wembanyama has led to him posting a 65.1% true shooting percentage in this series and scoring 26-plus in back-to-back games. DraftKings has his Over 25.5 points at -121, but I'd play this up to -150 on the best sports betting sites.
π₯ More Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks
The Thunder are the betting favorite in the NBA championship odds.
Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points (-120)
While Holmgren has struggled defensively in this series, heβs been even less impactful on the offensive end. He has just a 15.4% usage rate, which appears to be the result of his team simply losing faith in him when Wembanyama is on the floor.
Holmgren has scored 13 or fewer points in three of four outings in this series (the outlier being a 14-point performance) and has struggled to stay on the floor late in games. Holmgren Under 13.5 points is -120 at BetMGM, but I'd play this up to -145 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More Spurs vs. Thunder predictions
Our LJ Blut backs the Spurs to cover the spread with his NBA play of the day.
ποΈ Most-bet Spurs vs. Thunder player props: Game 5
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | Over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | Under 26.5 points | -120 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Thunder | Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists | -130 |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | Over 9.5 rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Jalen Williams | Thunder | Under 14.5 points | -125 |
π Spurs vs. Thunder same-game parlay
If the Spurs cover today - which I also like directionally - it will likely be because Shai Gilgeous-Alexander struggles to score. With Jared McCain coming off an uncharacteristically poor shooting night in Game 4, I like the young Thunder guard to bounce back, while Gilgeous-Alexander becomes more of a distributor as the game progresses. bet365 offers this SGP at +390, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +315.
💵 Spurs vs. Thunder SGP picks
- Spurs +4.5
- Jared McCain Over 2.5 three-pointers made
Best odds: +390 via bet365 (0.26u -> 1u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 190-207-4 | -5.88 units β | -1.5% β |
| Player props | 165-140-4 | -7.03 units β | -1.9% β |
| Parlays | 21-62 | +2.05 units β | 8.3% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 82-81 | +11.16 units β | 8.7% β |
| Player props | 66-41 | +12.5 units β | 11.5% β |
| Parlays | 13-35 | +1.05 units β | 7.9% β |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units β | -52.5% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Spurs vs. Thunder: Game 5 strategy
Usually in an NBA playoff series, you expect to encounter essentially the same situation - aside from a change in venue - four to seven times. While the Thunderβs injuries, especially if Jalen Williams doesnβt play, change today's situation, I avoided bets that would be heavily impacted by the injury report. Instead, I targeted two known commodities: the Thunder have struggled to guard Wembanyama, who has grown more comfortable as a scorer throughout the playoffs, and Holmgren has struggled to stay on the floor when Wembanyama is also out there.
π Spurs vs. Thunder injuries: Game 5
Injury report last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.
Spurs
- None
Thunder
- Ajay Mitchell (calf) - out
- Thomas Sorber (ACL) - out
- Jalen Williams (hamstring) - questionable
πΊ How to watch Spurs vs. Thunder: West finals - Game 5
- Date: Tuesday, May 26
- Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
- Spread: Thunder -4.5
- Moneyline: Spurs +149 | Thunder -155
- Total: 217.5
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