🏀 Cavaliers vs. Raptors Player Props Tonight: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Game 6
📡 SBR Edge: Harden Makes 3+ 3-Pointers in the 6ix
My Cavaliers vs. Raptors player props for Game 6 tonight feature James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-135). He has attempted eight or more 3-pointers in six of his last eight matchups against Toronto. My second NBA best bet is Scottie Barnes Over 20.5 points (-120), as he has a median scoring output of 21.5 points this season without Brandon Ingram, who is out tonight.
π Best Cavaliers vs. Raptors player props: NBA Playoffs Game 6
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -135 via BetMGM | 1.35u -> 1u | Has attempted 8+ 3PT in 6 of last 8 games vs. TOR |
| Scottie Barnes Over 20.5 points | -120 via DraftKings | 0.6u -> 0.5u | Scored a median of 21.5 points w/o Ingram this season |
Total wagered: 1.95 units | Max profit: 1.5 units
π° Best Cavaliers vs. Raptors prop bet
The Cavaliers have the fourth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-135)
Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made has been a go-to bet for me throughout this series and has cashed in four of five games.
He has no trouble getting open against Toronto's wing defenders, which is why he has attempted eight or more 3-pointers in six of his last eight meetings with the Raptors.
With his reputation for choking in the playoffs, look for Harden to change the narrative in a crucial Game 6. BetMGM has his Over 2.5 three-pointers at -135, but this bet is good up to -160 on the best sports betting sites.
π₯ More Cavaliers vs. Raptors prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Scottie Barnes Over 20.5 points (-120)
With Ingram out tonight, I like Barnes to be the No. 1 option alongside RJ Barrett, who is lined as high as 23.5 at some of the best sportsbooks.
Barnes has scored a median of 21.5 points across four games without Ingram this season, including 31 points against the 76ers and 23 against the Magic.
Additionally, he has already scored 21+ in four of five games in this series. Barnes Over 20.5 points is -120 at DraftKings, but I'd also be comfortable playing Over 21.5 (-110) on the best sports betting apps, given how well he's played lately.
ποΈ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley | Cavaliers | Under 16.5 points | -120 |
| Jarrett Allen | Cavaliers | Under 10.5 points | -105 |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cavaliers | Under 26.5 points | +100 |
| Jakob Poeltl | Raptors | Under 5.5 rebounds | -125 |
| Amen Thompson | Rockets | Under 18.5 points | +105 |
π Cavaliers vs. Raptors same-game parlay
If the Raptors can keep this game close, it will give Harden more opportunities to make four or more 3-pointers. While these two bets are negatively correlated, Bet365 is offering better-than-fair odds at +490. Meanwhile, FanDuel is offering just +415.
💵 Cavaliers vs. Raptors SGP picks
- James Harden 4+ three-pointers made
- Raptors +4.5
Best odds: +490 via bet365 (0.2u -> 1u)
π‘ More NBA expert picks tonight
- NBA player props tonight
- Pistons vs. Magic player props
- NBA play of the day: Cavaliers vs. Raptors
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors player props
- Lakers vs. Rockets player props
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 154.5-172-4.5 | -10 units β | -3% β |
| Player props | 137-121-4 | -9.02 units β | -2.9% β |
| Parlays | 13.5-46-0.5 | -0.09 units β | -0.5% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 46.5-45-0.5 | +7.34 units β | 10.4% β |
| Player props | 38-22 | +10.51 units β | 18.3% β |
| Parlays | 5.5-18-0.5 | -0.78 units β | -11.7% β |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units β | -52.5% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Cavaliers vs. Raptors: NBA Playoffs Game 6 strategy
This is the first elimination game of the series, and while it's likely that the Raptors will go home - or, I guess, stay home? - tonight, they're still undervalued after three consecutive covers, including two straight-up wins. That is part of the reason why I'm OK betting Overs on Raptors players tonight. While I would look to bet Unders on Cavaliers players in general, Hardenβs 3-point prop has been profitable this series and is still too cheap.
π Cavaliers vs. Raptors injuries: Game 6
Injury report last updated at 5:51 p.m. ET.
Cavaliers
- None
Raptors
- Brandon Ingram (heel) - out
- Immanuel Quickley (hamstring) - out
πΊ How to watch Cavaliers vs. Raptors: East first round - Game 6
- Date: Friday, May 1
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
- TV: Prime Video
- Spread: Cavaliers -4.5
- Total: 218.5
- Moneyline: Cavaliers -182 | Raptors +163
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