Tunisia vs. Netherlands Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 25)
The Dutch are well-positioned to win Group F, as my best Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction anticipates another lopsided affair involving the Tunisians. Entering this match, they've been outscored 9-1, with each of their losses coming by four goals. A convincing victory here would likely give the Netherlands Group F, and my World Cup best bets below expect the Dutch to do just that.
The Dutch are a -900 betting favorite for today's 7 p.m. ET game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. The match will air on FS1 and Telemundo and stream on FOX One.
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⚽ Tunisia vs. Netherlands predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands -2.5 | -105 via DraftKings | 2u -> 1.91u |
| Netherlands Over 1.5 first half goals | +135 via DraftKings | 3u -> 4.05u |
| Cody Gakpo anytime goalscorer | -105 via DraftKings | 1u -> 0.95u |
⚽ Who will win Tunisia vs. Netherlands?
Unfortunately for Tunisia, the Netherlands will play this match as if goal differential is the determining factor in the Group F standings. This is horrible news for Tunisia, as the Netherlands defeated Sweden 5-1, the same score by which the Swedes defeated Tunisia.
Despite scoring against Sweden, Tunisia has just 0.33 expected goals through two matches. Against Japan, the Tunisians didn't even attempt a shot on goal, while Japan attempted five. The Netherlands is great at creating chances, with 13 shots through two matches. Simply put, this will be as ugly as the Netherlands wants it to be.
Score prediction: Netherlands 4 Tunisia 0
💵 My best bet: Netherlands Over 1.5 first half goals (+135)
Tunisia has allowed 12 shots on goal in this tournament, with nine of those finding the back of the net. Tunisia has also allowed two goals in the first half of each of its first two games.
With the Netherlands needing a victory to win the group, I expect the onslaught to start early. The Netherlands scored two first-half goals against Sweden, and will easily net two here, putting the game out of reach before the break.
🦶 Who will score in Tunisia vs. Netherlands?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Cody Gakpo, F, Netherlands (-105)
After 48 touches, two shots, and one shot on goal against Japan, Gakpo broke through against Sweden. He recorded five shots, four of which were on target, with two of them finding the back of the net. He was also involved in another goal, recording an assist on Brian Brobbey's first.
Gakpo has now scored twice in two of his last three matches, and he has at least two shots on goal in three of his last four. With how poorly Tunisia defends, this is a great price for Gakpo.
Best Tunisia vs. Netherlands goal-scorer pick: Cody Gakpo (-105 via DraftKings)
🥅 Will both teams score in Tunisia vs. Netherlands?
The only way Tunisia is scoring in this match is if the Netherlands completely shut down late in the second half. The Netherlands has conceded in each of its first two matches, but Japan and Sweden have already proven they're significantly better than Tunisia. Tunisia had just 38% possession and 0.05 expected goals against Japan. This match could be even uglier.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: No (-220 via DraftKings)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 Tunisia vs. Netherlands odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch Tunisia vs. Netherlands
- Date: Thursday, June 25
- Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- TV/Streaming: FS1, Telemundo, FOX One
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