Turkey vs. United States Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 25)
With the United States confirmed to play in the Round of 32 and Turkey already eliminated, there's nothing but pride on the line during the final Group D match at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif. My Turkey vs. United States prediction backs the 2026 World Cup co-host to live up to its billing as a -111 favorite to emerge victorious over +250 Turkey and end the group stage with a perfect record.
Our World Cup best bets also target a U.S. forward to stay hot in front of goal when the action begins at 10 p.m. ET on FOX, Telemundo, and FOX One.
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⚽ Turkey vs. United States predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| United States -1.5 | +245 via DraftKings | 1u -> 2.45u |
| Folarin Balogun anytime goal | +155 via FanDuel | 1.5u -> 2.32u |
⚽ Who will win Turkey vs. United States?
The United States moneyline odds are lower than expected for a team that's already clinched first place in Group D. But, after convincing wins over Paraguay and Australia, the United States has been good enough to justify the -111 odds.
There's a strong possibility that coach Mauricio Pochettino will rotate the squad to keep his starters fresh for the Round of 32. But the United States has the depth to beat a Turkey team that has gone 180 minutes without a goal at this World Cup.
Score prediction: United States 3, Turkey 1
💵 My best bet: United States -1.5 (+245)
The United States has been so good that some are beginning to believe that the co-host is a legitimate contender to win the World Cup. While that might be a stretch, the team has certainly found a groove, bursting out of the gates with two impressive victories.
The United States have already been confirmed as the Group D winner, so fringe players may be in Thursday's starting lineup. But that won't hinder the desire to impress on home soil, as we expect the United States to approach this match with the goal of producing a convincing victory to maintain its perfect record heading into the Round of 32.
🦶 Who will score in Turkey vs. United States?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Folarin Balogun, F, United States (+155)
Despite the threat of the squad being rotated, we're confident that Folarin Balogun will be included in the starting team and play for the majority of the game. If he does play, expect the American striker to add to his team-leading goal haul.
Maintaining Balogun's momentum is one of the big reasons to play the striker on Thursday. Balogun's inclusion will also afford him a chance to keep pace in the Golden Boot race. After recording two goals in the opening game of the World Cup, he sits three goals back of the leader, Lionel Messi.
Best Turkey vs. United States goal-scorer pick: Folarin Balogun (+155 via FanDuel)
🥅 Will both teams score in Turkey vs. United States?
Along with expecting the United States to score for the third game in a row, we're also backing Turkey to record its first goal at the 2026 World Cup. After losing 1-0 to Paraguay and 2-0 to Australia, Turkey fans will finally be able to celebrate a goal against a United States side that likely won't have its first-choice players in the starting lineup.
Look for Real Madrid's creative spark, Arda Guler, to play a starring role and provide the spark of creativity that gets Turkey on the scoresheet.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: Yes (-150 via bet365)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 Turkey vs. United States odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch Turkey vs. United States
- Date: Thursday, June 25
- Kickoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
- TV/Streaming: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
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