Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions (Thursday, June 25)
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Thursday (June 25)
After going 2-2 over the last couple of days, we're targeting large sample sizes for Cubs vs. Mets and Yankees vs. Red Sox on this fine Thursday to get the job done. The formula continues to work for us this season, so let's bring those units home with our best NRFI bets today.
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: Thursday, June 25
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Cubs vs. Mets NRFI (-135) | 2u ā 1.48u | Suarez owns 33.3% K rate versus Rockies |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox NRFI (-145) | 1u -> 0.68u | Woo owns 30.8% K rate versus Pirates |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.68 units
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š° Best NRFI bets today (Thursday, June 25)
Cubs vs. Mets NRFI (-135) - 7:10 p.m. ET
- Matthew Boyd (6.00 ERA) vs. Freddy Peralta (4.83 ERA)
- NRFI records: Cubs (48-32) vs. Mets (40-40)
Between these two starters, we're seeing close to 400 plate appearances against them in this specific matchup - a sample size we truly love to see. With the Mets owning just a .254 xBA against Boyd, and with Juan Soto just 1-for-10 against him in his career, we're feeling fairly confident the Cubs righty can get us three simple outs. On the other side, the Cubs have 252 plate appearances against Peralta, and own just a .178 xBA against the Mets ace. That's good enough for me - I'd price this play closer to -150.
💣️ More MLB player props for Wednesday
Dive into my best home run predictions today if you're looking to cash in on Wednesday.
Yankees vs. Red Sox NRFI (-145) - 7:10 p.m. ET
- Cam Schlittler (1.71 ERA) vs. Connelly Early (3.64 ERA)
- NRFI records: Yankees (41-38) vs. Red Sox (41-37)
Here's a case of two young pitchers with strong enough sample sizes that I feel extremely confident in backing them as part of our best NRFI bets today. Schlittler has 65 plate appearances logged against him from the Red Sox, and he's limiting them to a .202 xBA and .244 xwOBA while striking the Boston lineup out at a 28% rate. We will absolutely take that to the bank. Early has done just as well against the Yankees, too, owning a 25% whiff rate - it helps that Ben Rice is 0-for-4 with four strikeouts against him in his career. Let's fire this bad boy up.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 46-42 | +1.55 units |
| NRFI picks | 44-40 | +0.79 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (June 24)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
An NRFI (No Run First Inning) bet carries high variance, meaning success requires a disciplined, daily dive into the data. Before placing a wager, run through a strict checklist: analyze how the starting pitcher matches up against the top three hitters in the lineup, track underlying metrics like strikeout rates (K%) and expected batting averages (xBA), and review recent team-specific first-inning scoring trends. Because a single mistake or lucky hit can ruin the bet instantly, always use this daily routine to guide your wagers and scale your unit sizing accordingly to protect your bankroll.
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