Paraguay vs. Australia Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 25)
Paraguay closes out Group D play tonight with a crucial matchup against Australia, as we break down our Paraguay vs. Australia predictions. The oddsmakers and prediction markets are listing Paraguay as the clear favorite to grab all three points. Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, where both sides will look to strengthen their position heading into the knockout stage.
Paraguay enters in strong form after a win over Turkey, while Australia will try to build off its upset over Turkey earlier in the group. The match will air live on FS1 and Universo, with streaming available on FOX One.
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⚽ Paraguay vs. Australia predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguay ML | +170 via FanDuel | 1u -> 1.7u |
| Alex Arce anytime goalscorer | +350 via FanDuel | .5u -> 1.75u |
⚽ Who will win Paraguay vs. Australia?
Paraguay looks like the stronger side heading into this matchup and has already shown its ability to grind out results in Group D. After knocking off Turkey 1-0, Paraguay now has a chance to build on that momentum against an Australian squad that has struggled to create consistent attacking chances outside of its win over Turkey.
Defensively, Paraguay has been far more organized and disciplined, limiting quality looks while staying dangerous on the counter. With more urgency, sharper finishing, and stronger overall form, Paraguay is in a prime spot to secure all three points.
Score prediction: Paraguay 2, Australia 0
💵 My best bet: Paraguay moneyline (+170)
Paraguay also has the edge in physicality and midfield control, which should be a major factor in this match. They’ve done a better job winning possession battles and slowing opponents in transition, something Australia has struggled with all tournament. If Paraguay gets on the board first, it will force Australia to open up and take more risks. That plays directly into Paraguay’s strength on the counterattack, where they’ve looked dangerous and efficient.
🦶 Who will score in Paraguay vs. Australia?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Alex Arce, FWD, Paraguay (+350)
Alex Arce has the profile to be Paraguay’s difference-maker tonight. He’s their most dangerous finisher in the final third and consistently finds space inside the box, which could be crucial against an Australian backline that has looked vulnerable under pressure. Paraguay should control possession and generate quality chances, and Arce is often the focal point of those attacks. If Paraguay dictates the pace like expected, Arce will have multiple scoring opportunities and is in a strong spot to find the net.
Best [Team A vs. Team B] goal-scorer pick: Alex Arce (+250 via FanDuel
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🥅 Will both teams score in Paraguay vs. Australia?
Both teams not to score looks like strong value because Paraguay has been far more disciplined defensively and has allowed very few clean chances in this tournament. Australia has struggled to create consistent offense against organized defenses, and if Paraguay controls possession early, this could easily turn into a one-sided 1-0 or 2-0 result.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: No (-156 via FanDuel)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 Paraguay vs. Australia odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch Paraguay vs. Australia
- Date: Thursday, June 25
- Kickoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, CA)
- TV: FS1
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